Football Tips: Paddy trader’s 4 best bets for Arsenal and Man Utd’s Euro clashes

Paddy's top football trader Jason Murphy has you covered for the Europa League semi final second legs at 8pm on Thursday.

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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

Roma v Manchester United

This tie looks over so we’re just trying to find a betting angle. First and foremost, it’s fantastic for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer because he has lost four semi finals in the last 15 months and, barring a miracle, he’s going to win this one so credit where credit’s due.

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United have conceded three goals in seven games and you think they’re not bad defensively, but they’ve actually given away seven goals in terms of xG so they’re actually riding their luck a bit in terms of xG. This is what’s feeding into the tip.

Roma to Score 2 or More Goals

My first tip is Roma to Score 2 or More Goals. You might look at Roma’s result at the weekend, where they got beat 2-0 by Sampdoria, but they actually had the ball in the net three times, ruled out for three offsides and Edin Dzeko actually missed a penalty as well.

Thursday 8pm: Roma v Manchester United
BT Sport 3

Given United’s defensive issues, issues is probably too strong a word, but with United’s mentality heading into this game, at this price Roma to Score 2 or More Goals is a little bit of an angle.

Edin Dzeko to Score First

Roma were probably missing 10 players through injury at the weekend so we’ll have to wait and see what their line up is. Edin Dzeko, with United not being fully tuned in, could be the play. I fancy Edin Dzeko to Score First.

8pm: Arsenal v Villarreal

I think Villarreal are going to make it through. That’s what my head and my heart say. I’ve backed them a couple of times through this tournament. They have a first leg lead but it could have been even better.

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta has admitted how bad his side were in the first half. Credit to Bernd Leno, I’ve been critical of him, but he pulled off some fantastic saves to keep them in the game, particularly from Gerard Moreno at 2-0.

Thursday 8pm: Arsenal v Villarreal
BT Sport 2 and BT Sport Ultimate

The positive for Arsenal is that they’ll be a bit fresher. Newcastle didn’t put up any sort of a fight whatsoever at the weekend and Arsenal made about eight changes. Villarreal got a few kicks against Getafe which was always going to happen.

Both Teams To Score

But, in terms of an angle, Both Teams to Score I can definitely see this happening here. It’s probably your best bets because the match and to qualify prices all look about right in what is a massive game for Arsenal.

Gerard Moreno to Score First

Gerard Moreno’s been fantastic in La Liga and he’s got over 20 goals this season. In terms of producing for Villarreal he’s either scored or assisted a goal in their last six or seven games. He should have scored in the first leg and I think he’ll find the back of the net this time. Gerard Moreno to Score First is a decent price.

In terms of Arsenal Nicolas Pepe’s been their main man in Europe this season and has been involved with 10 goals, scoring six, so maybe one for Arsenal fans depending on what the line up is but for anyone else it’s Gerard Moreno to Score First.

Jason’s Europa League tips

Roma v Manchester United
Roma to Score 2 or More Goals
Edin Dzeko to Score First

8pm: Arsenal v Villarreal
Both Teams To Score
Gerard Moreno to Score First

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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