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I’m going to go for Stone Of Destiny. He doesn’t win that much and he can be frustrating but I fancy him here. I thought he flew in the Dash at Epsom and was then eighth behind Oxted at Royal Ascot. He’s one of those horses that flashes home late on. He’s drawn in three and you need a bit of luck. If he gets lucky, he’s a good each-way price.
William Haggas is having a great season and trains market leader Dhushan, but I prefer Harlem Soul, trained by Mark Johnston with Silvestre De Sousa on board. He won at Ripon over a mile and a half but is stepping up to one mile and six furlongs now. Harlem Soul’s a good stayer and it makes sense to get on him.
It’s a big ride for Adam Farragher on Montatham and he’s gone for the black cap first colours of the Shadwell Estate. He ran well at Doncaster in March, finishing third behind Top Rank. It’s been a good while since he ran and you wonder why that is, but William Haggas saddling the favourite in a handicap usually goes close. Pythagoras ran reasonably well when eighth at Royal Ascot but Acquitted has been hit and miss. I can see why Montatham is at the top of the market.
Do I fancy anything else in the race? I don’t think so.
I’m going for Alpinista here. A reproduction or anything close to her Yorkshire Oaks form will be good enough to get the win in this one.
Statement‘s run behind Alcohol Free at Newbury in April was rock solid before she ran eighth in the 1,000 Guineas to Mother Earth. She was drawn right beside the winner that day, so you’d wonder whether that was her limits exposed. She was a fraction disappointing behind Parent’s Prayer at Epsom in the Princess Elizabeth Stakes but she’s now dropping back from Group 1 company to Listed class now.
She’s the best filly in the race and Martyn Meade almost won the Irish Derby last weekend. He could bounce back now with a nice winner.
Aaddeey is short in the market to turn the form around with Zabeel Champion. They finished fifth and third respectively at Royal Ascot last month. Longsider looks completely unexposed heading into this one and Grand Bazaar was third behind Zabeel Champion at Newmarket in May. That was his first run in a long time and he could be the one who shows improvement. I’ll go with Grand Bazaar for John and Thady Gosden.
El Drama isn’t a guaranteed pacesetter. He didn’t make it round at Chester but he didn’t really get going in Chantilly last month. The key for me here is that St Mark’s Basilica is drawn in one so what does Ryan Moore do? If he goes forward and sits on the pace is that brining Addeybb’s stamina into play?
I know St Mark’s Basilica won over 10 furlongs on his last start but that was a really tactical affair. He showed the best speed to win the French 2,000 Guineas as well. If Addeybb comes across from stall four to get in front, Ryan will sit right in the pocket. If El Drama goes to the front you can see Ryan being forced out or held back.
I’m not sure one is a good draw for a field this size because the only way you can make a run is going forward. Better stayers, like Addeybb, could then storm through. Mishriff is a good stayer too. I’m not saying St Mark’s Basilica won’t stay, but it could get tactical for Ryan Moore. With my doubts about the draw, I’m going for Mishriff to take it.
Ruby Walsh’s best bets for Saturday:
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