Over 3.5 goals @ 8/5
In terms of goals alone, QPR are the most entertaining team in the Championship. QPR fans have seen 46 goals in 13 matches this season, the joint highest record in the league. They also boast one of the worst defensive records in the Championship and only Luton, Stoke and Barnsley – all located in the bottom six – have a worse record.
QPR have conceded at least twice in each of their last five games and still managed to pick up seven points which highlights how ridiculous the scoring rates in their games have been. If the London club harbour genuine ambitions of gaining promotion to the Premier League for the first time since 2015, they have to tighten up defensively.
For the neutral, hopefully that won’t happen until after Monday night.
They come up against a Brentford side who have gotten a new lease of life since the international break, winning convincingly at Swansea and coming from behind to snatch a late winner against Millwall. The Bees scored three times on both occasions and Monday just seems like a perfect storm where we might finally see that 7-7 draw.
QPR to win @ 9/5
Despite QPR’s porous defence, it is still somewhat surprising that they are almost 2/1 to overcome the challenge of Brentford on Monday. Rangers may have failed to keep a clean sheet in every league game this season, but the fact that a win on Monday will send them second remains inescapable.
Brentford, meanwhile, still languish in the bottom half of the Championship, which makes it slightly strange that they have been made favourites for this one, given their opponents’ lofty league position and home advantage.
QPR’s home form has been patchy this season, which has perhaps given rise to their underdog status on Monday night, but the incentive of moving into the automatic promotion places should see them over the line.
Brentford have also lost four of their last six on their travels and it may well become five from seven on Monday. The corresponding fixture last season finished 3-2 to QPR and it wouldn’t be overly surprising if that scoreline was repeated.
Nahki Wells to score anytime @ 17/10
With QPR’s joint top scorer Jordan Hugill suspended, the bulk of goalscoring responsibility falls on the shoulders of Nahki Wells, who has also scored seven league goals this season. Wells is almost guaranteed to lead the line in Hugill’s absence and has an impressive six goals from his last seven games – a statistic made all the more impressive by the fact that QPR failed to score in two of those games.
He has scored in both of Rangers’ last two home games and is good value to make that three from three on Monday. While QPR have managed goals from a number of different sources this season, it is Wells that has been the most consistent in front of goal (excluding Hugill) and he represents the safest bet to find the back of the net again.
Three Best Bets:
Over 3.5 goals @ 8/5
Nahki Wells to score anytime @ 17/10
QPR to win @ 9/5