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Cachet and Desert Dreamer both ran at Royal Ascot last week and finished fifth and 10th respectively. If either of them had won, would they be here? Probably not. Because of that, I’m going for HONEY SWEET, who beat Night Candle at Nottingham back in May. Night Candle has since won at Windsor.
I thought Honey Sweet was impressive then, so I’ll get on her again now.
Jim Crowley has probably gone for KHUZAAM due to how stiff Newcastle is as a track. Khuzaam is coming down in distance having finished last behind Palace Pier at Sandown over a mile. Prior to that he’d won at Ligfield over a mile.
We haven’t seen Tabdeed since Haydock last September where he came last behind Dream of Dreams over six furlongs. He had winning form at Newbury prior to that, and he came second at Newcastle last June. He has the distance form, but Khuzaam coming down in trip might be less exposed. I’m sticking with Jim Crowley.
I thought DESERT ENCOUNTER ran well for a long way at Royal Ascot behind Love and he’s dropping down in class now. Logician is not as good as he once was and Pablo Escobarr is not setting the world alight either. I know Desert Encounter is nine and he doesn’t win that often, but is coming off the back of that good run at Royal Ascot. He’s a hard individual and could run a good race.
It’s very easy to see why East Asia is the current favourite in this one. When you look at the handicapping, he won last time out at Goodward off 82. East Asia is rated 80 for this and looks solid.
Despite that, I’m going to go for BLOW YOUR HORN, who won here back in April over a mile-and-a-half. Jamie Spencer rides for Charlie Fellowes again. He stepped up to 1m 6f at Chelmsford after that Newcastle victory and won again. He then came back down in trip slightly at Chester in May, but faded on soft ground. Blow Your Horn runs off an 87 rating now and is a good each-way bet to my eyes.
Kinross beat Njord at Haydock in May. Njord is decent, but I don’t believe he’s up to the standard at Group level. I fancy THE LIR JET in this one, who is a bit of an outsider. The conditions could be good for him to upset Kinross and Glorious Journey, who will likely head the market.
I’m going for DUBIOUS AFFAIR. I know he only ran last week at Royal Ascot on the first day, but I thought he was really unlucky behind Amtiyaz. He stayed on really well close to home with Jamie Spencer on board. That was over 1m 6f, so he is going up in trip slightly in this one. Unlucky losers are always worth following, so I’m on Dubious Affair.
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