The football gods might very well have sat down together over the international break and decided to reward fans of the continental leagues because what a set of fixtures we have for Saturday from early afternoon. Will the favourites win? You’d get around 11/1 just backing them all here, but we’ve dug a bit deeper into the stats and found some decent value for these matches. Let’s have a look at what we’re backing…
2.30pm: Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen – Bayern to Win & Both Teams to Score
Bayern have now won 10 in a row in all competitions, scoring an incredible 36 goals and conceding 12. Werder have taken all three points in just one of their last five but away from home, in all competitions, they’ve been quite good, winning three and drawing two over their last five.
Bayern are easily brushing teams aside but they’re conceding plenty of goals along the way. FC Koln in the bottom three have conceded 12 in the Bundesliga – just one more than the defending champions. Werder are unbeaten over their three away league matches this season, scoring five and conceding three. The Bavarians will win here no doubt but Werder’s good record matched with Bayern’s lackadaisical attitude towards clean sheets means there’s good value to be had in Bayern to Win & Both Teams to Score.
3.15pm: Villarreal vs Real Madrid – Villarreal or Draw
Real Madrid are missing six of their usual starting XI and Karim Benzema is still to face a fitness test at the time of writing. Lump on Villarreal? Well, Madrid’s odds have certainly lengthened over the last few days and with that injury list the market is swinging towards the home side.
Real have only won once over their five most recent visits to the Estadio de la Ceramica as well. The last three ended 2-2, Real won the one before that 2-3 and Villarreal won the first of those five 1-0. Not a happy hunting ground for Los Blancos and with Villarreal still unbeaten at home this season we’re liking the look of Villarreal or Draw here.
7.30pm: Hertha Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund – Dortmund to Win & BTTS
Hertha have only won two of their last nine home matches against Dortmund with the away side winning five and they’re very much the underdogs here as you’d expect. BTTS has landed in all four of their most recent meetings and while Hertha are certainly having a few problems this season their scoring record at the Olympiastadion has seen them score at least one in seven out of their last eight home league matches.
Dortmund should come out on top. They’ve won four out of their last five league matches on the road, but Hertha’s scoring record at home and their record in previous head to heads means we should see both scoring here. We’re going with Dortmund to Win & BTTS.
7.45pm: Juventus vs Cagliari – Juventus to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
The Old Lady are still unbeaten in the Serie A after seven matches, although four of those were draws. Cagliari have lost three of seven but their games have been, well, fun. They’ve scored 14 and conceded 15 and they’re really going for that swashbuckling type of football, trying to be Atalanta but with even less money. Juve are obviously massive favourites here, they’ve lost only twice to Cagliari since 1990 at home and with both teams in good goal-scoring form you’d be forgiven for going for BTTS here. The odds though, well, they’re quite short.
Over 2.5 goals has occurred in seven out of Juve’s nine most recent home league matches and has landed in six out of seven of Cagliari’s most previous away Serie A matches. Both should score but the better odds are with Juventus to Win & Over 2.5 Goals.
8pm: Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona – Over 2.5 Goals
And so we end with arguably the game of the day. Atletico Madrid come into this match in decent form with four wins out of five and four wins out of five at home as well. Over 2.5 goals occurred in three out of five of both of those sets of matches. Barca’s form isn’t quite so good with three wins, one draw and one loss out of their five most recent, three saw Overs occurring. While away from home they’ve had the same results but only two saw Overs landing.
Atletico have turned up the heat of late and are being more ruthless than eeking out narrow 1-0s and 2-0s. Barcelona need to start getting their act together too, they’re in eighth position with just three wins from their seven matches so far. With Atletico in great scoring form and pressure mounting on Barca both teams will be going all out for the win and goals will be on the menu.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while in-copy odds are correct at time of publication but subject to change
Saturday’s Euro footy acca
2.30pm: Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen – Bayern to Win & Both Teams to Score
3.15pm: Villarreal vs Real Madrid – Villarreal or Draw
7.30pm: Hertha Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund – Dortmund to Win & BTTS
7.45pm: Juventus vs Cagliari – Juventus to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
8pm: Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona – Over 2.5 Goals
- All five of these picks in a five-fold Acca will give you odds of 26/1
Top tips for Saturday’s Premier League footy:
- 12.30pm: Timo to terrify Toon but Newcastle to grab draw with Chelsea
- 3pm: Brighton to stun Aston Villa – but Watkins to score
- 5.30pm: Kane and Jesus to shine in this Spurs v Man City 43/1 Same Game Multi
- 8pm: Bruno Fernandes the key for Man Utd in this 14/1 Same Game Multi for West Brom clash
THE PADDY POWER GUIDE TO RESPONSIBLE GAMBLING – EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW