Football Accumulator Tips: This Tuesday TV four-fold clocks in at 16/1

Paddy Murphy has delved into the numbers and picked his fancies

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

For Tuesday’s football acca, we’re diving into the stats and searching for value with a selection of televised matches from England and abroad.

Firstly, in the EFL Championship, Middlesbrough face West Brom and second-placed Bournemouth travel to Swansea. Then, we’ll be looking at the first leg Champions League Last 16 clashes between Chelsea and Lille and Villarreal and Juventus.

Let’s get into it!

Tuesday’s televised matches:

7.45: Middlesbrough v West Brom, Sky Sports Football
7.45pm: Swansea v Bournemouth, Sky Sports Main Event
8pm: Chelsea v Lille, BT Sport 2
8pm: Villarreal v Juventus, BT Sport 3

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*An accumulator with these four best bets pays at approximately 16/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

19:45 Middlesbrough vs West Brom: Middlesbrough to Win

West Brom are in the midst of an alarming slide down the Championship table. The Baggies have now won just one of their last 10 league games while their last three visits to the Riverside have seen them win just once.

The home side are in decent form and have won two, drawn two (winning one on penalties) and lost one over their last five fixtures. Their home form has been outstanding; winning all six of their most recent Championship fixtures on home soil.

The visitors’ recent record makes for dire reading, they’ve lost four and drawn one of their last five in the league and on their travels have lost all five. With such contrasting records, getting Middlesbrough priced well over Evens to Win (at the time of writing) screams value.

19:45 Swansea vs Bournemouth: Bournemouth to Win

Swansea have won just two of their last five Championship games, losing the other three. Their form on home soil has seen them win three and lose two, scoring six and conceding six.

This being Bournemouth’s game in hand over league leaders Fulham they’re going to be fired up to take the three points which would put them just three behind the Cottagers. Blackburn, in third, are hot on their heels too so the pressure is really on the Cherries here.

Over their last five league games the visitors have won three and lost two while on their travels they share the same record, scoring six and conceding five. Goals can be in short supply for both teams, Over 2.5 goals has been seen in 47% of home Swans’ games this season and in just 25% of away Bournemouth games in the Championship.

Over recent seasons the visitors are undefeated in this fixture with two wins and two draws. The away side have now won all three of their most recent Championship games and with Fulham in their sights, against a Swansea side who have conceded eight over their three most previous league games, we have to give the nod to the visitors.

20:00 Chelsea vs Lille: Lille to Score Under 0.5 Goals

These sides last met in the Champions League in 2019 when Chelsea won both matches in the Group Stage by a score of 2-1. The Blues are in very strong form of late, winning three of their last five in all competitions, drawing the other two but winning them both in Extra Time.

At Stamford Bridge they’ve not lost since a 0-1 loss to Manchester City back in September, a run of 15 games. While they endured a run of too many draws over that period they seem to have turned a corner now and have won four of their last five on home soil, drawing the other and winning it in ET.

Lille have had a difficult season defending their Ligue 1 title. They’ve won two of their last five in all competitions, drawing one and losing two and their away form has seen them win two, draw two (losing one on penalties) and lose one. Lille have scored just two goals over their last four games and looking at Chelsea’s Champions League form they’ve kept five clean sheets over their six home Champions League games.

With those stats, we have to go with Chelsea keeping another clean sheets here; our bet is Lille to Score Under 0.5 Goals.

20:00 Villarreal vs Juventus: Both Teams to Score

Villarreal come into this Champions League clash in the better shape of the two sides. They’ve won three of their last five, drawing one and losing one while Juve have won two and drawn three over their five most previous fixtures. The Yellow Submarine have the better home form too, they’re undefeated over their last six at El Madrigal, winning four and drawing two while the Old Lady have won two and drawn three (losing one in ET).

Villarreal however, only won one of their Champions League Group Stage games and Juve’s away record in the competition has seen them losing just three of their last 10 on their European jaunts.

This is going to be a fascinating match up, the home side have scored 15 over their last five at home, conceding four and as good as the Old Lady’s defence can be, particularly at home, they’ve conceded in all three of their most recent games and in three of their last four on the road.

The visitors have scored in eight of their last 10 on the road too so the best odds here in regards to those stats is in the Both Teams to Score market.

Televised Tuesday Tips:

7.45pm: Middlesbrough v West Brom: Middlesborough to win
7.45pm: Swansea v Bournemouth: Bournemouth to win
8pm: Chelsea v Lille: Lille to score under 0.5 goals
8pm: Villarreal v Juventus: Both teams to score

*An accumulator with these four best bets pays at approximately 16/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

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