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As we reach the midpoint of the Group Stage of this year’s Copa America things are starting to take shape in the groups. Uruguay take on Chile on Monday night and are still waiting for their first win of the tournament.
However, Chile lead Group A on four points after their two games. Later on Monday night (Tuesday morning GMT) Argentina – second on four points – take on Paraguay, who are third on three points. Let’s dive into the stats here and see if we can squeeze some value out of the markets.
Uruguay’s form has been disappointing of late, they’ve now won just one of their last five fixtures, and worst of all have really been struggling for goals. They’ve only scored three goals over their last five encounters, and all three came against Colombia back in November.
Over their four matches since they’ve failed to hit the target in all four of them. Diego Godin has recently announced his impending retirement from international football, while Luis Suarez and Edison Cavani have also hinted at the same. With this potentially being their last tournament for Uruguay, they really need to pull together as a team and start getting wins on the board.
Chile, on the other hand, are unbeaten over their five most recent games, winning two and drawing three. Against Uruguay over recent years they don’t have a great record though, winning just two of their last six meetings and losing all four of the others.
Over 2.5 Goals landed in four of those games and Both Teams to Score only occurred in three. So far in the tournament Chile have beaten Bolivia 1-0 and drew 1-1 with Argentina, Uruguay lost 1-0 to Argentina in their only game of the tournament so far.
Over 2.5 goals has only landed in one of Uruguay’s last five games and the same stat stands for Chile’s five most recent games as well. However, Uruguay really need to up their game here and go for the win, while Chile on four points have a bit of breathing space.
Chile have rarely kept Uruguay scoreless over their recent meetings, indeed of the six games mentioned above, Uruguay scored in all but one. Over Chile’s 10 most recent games they’ve been pretty clinical in front of goal, scoring in all 10 of them and scoring two in six. We should be looking at Both Teams to Score here.
So far Argentina have drawn 1-1 with Chile and beat Uruguay 1-0 on Friday night. Paraguay beat Bolivia 3-1 in their opening match. They’ve not been in great form of late though, winning just one of their last five matches.
Argentina have won two of their last five, drawing all three of the others. Lionel Scaloni’s men are actually unbeaten over their last 15 games and that’s unlikely to change here. They don’t exactly have a great record against Paraguay though, and over their five most recent games, they’ve only managed to come away with a win once. Paraguay won one as well, with the three others ending all square.
Both Teams To Score has landed in five of Argentina’s seven most recent fixtures and Paraguay have found the net in seven of their last 10 matches, so you’d expect Both Teams To Score to land here and over previous meetings Both Teams To Score has occurred in seven of their last nine encounters.
It’s tempting to go with Argentina here, but what’s putting us off is the fact that they’ve only beaten Paraguay once over their last six meetings. However, both teams are in decent goal-scoring form, so we’re going with BTTS and Overs here.
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