The fifth qualifying race for the Millionaire Chase runs this weekend and we’ve gathered our crack team of pundits together once again to give you the best chance of landing a winner.
We’ve already got four pleased punters confirmed in our £1m sweepstake for the Millionaire’s Chase at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day and there’s two remaining spots up for grabs. The fifth qualifying race sets off at 15:00 at Cheltenham on Saturday 12th of December.
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So, without further ado, here’s out top pundit’s tips for the 15:00 at Cheltenham on Saturday 12th of December 2020. And remember, if you want to be in with a chance of winning the £1m, make sure you OPT IN before placing any bets on this race.
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I had it in my head that I wanted to take GOSHEN on, when I started pricing the race. But the more I looked at it, the more I thought that this is a race with all the horses rated in the 150s – with Sceau Royal top-rated on 158, and that is probably the limit of his ability – and I don’t think anything else can run above 160.
If there is one horse in the race that could be a Champion Hurdle horse, and could run to a mark of 165+, it is Goshen. If he was coming here without running twice on the flat, he would be even money and possibly even odds-on. Those two flat runs were a bit disappointing, but he was running off 88 in decent handicaps. They weren’t weak races, and if you go back to the Triumph he was going to absolutely bolt in.
Now that form looks stronger, with Aspire Tower beating Abacadabras in the WKD Hurdle at Down Royal and Allmankind winning the Henry VIII Grade 1 over fences last week. Goshen was going to annihilate the two of them and I think it’s hard to look beyond him. We’re a little under 11/5 but I would make him shorter than that again. He’s the one horse who is a potential Champion Hurdle horse and until he gets beaten, I’m not going to oppose him.
Sometimes when juvenile hurdlers get out of juvenile company and go up against older, harder horses some of them aren’t capable of making the step up. The trends are there for everyone to see, and more don’t make the step up than those that do. But GOSHEN’s performance in last year’s Triumph was just incredible and after Jamie Moore switched him out down the hill to the third hurdle, from thereon he put his foot on the accelerator. This horse just kept going, and going faster! He was going to win really impressively and I think he’ll win here.
I think the only danger is Song For Someone, but I wouldn’t be worried about Goshen’s flat runs. If you look at Sharjah, who was second in last year’s Champion Hurdle, his flat runs were worse than Goshen’s. Some horses are just better jumpers than they are flat horses. I think Goshen is one of those and I think he will be impossible to beat here with 11st on his back, getting 6lbs off all the field. I would fancy him, even giving these horses 6lbs.
One of the main races of the day, the International Hurdle which is a Grade 2 over 2m1f. Do you believe Gary Moore? If you do, you will be all over GOSHEN who has missed three possible races so far this season but now has a chance to show us what he can do. Of course Goshen was desperately unlucky when unseating Jamie Moore at the last in the Triumph Hurdle with the race in the bag. He could be anything. This is a proper test though.
GOSHEN’s 2 Flat runs this autumn have been a shade underwhelming but he was running away with the Triumph at the Festival when unseating at the final flight and looks more than capable of making his mark in open company this season. Song For Someone, Silver Streak and Sceau Royal are others who look sure to have a say in a very competitive Grade 2.
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