Cheltenham Tips: 5 to thrive in soft ground at the Festival

The boffins have been on weather watch for months now and have zoned in on some soft-ground specialists to give us a run for our money this week.

Timeform Cheltenham

By / Cheltenham Festival, Horse Racing Tips / 1 year ago

Timeform’s best Cheltenham bets:

Wednesday 14:10 – Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase – Galia Des Liteaux
Wednesday 14:50 – Coral Cup – Good Risk At All
Wednesday 16:50 – Grand Annual – Andy Dufresne
Thursday 14:10 – Pertemps Network Final – Maxxum
Thursday 15:30 – Stayers’ Hurdle – Teahupoo

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Wednesday 14:10 – Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase

Galia Des Liteaux

Galia Des Liteaux also has the option of the Mares’ Chase on Friday but the plan is reportedly to take on the boys over three miles and she hasn’t got much at all to find with the principals once her 7 lb sex allowance is taken into account. The going at Cheltenham on Friday officially changed to ‘soft’ all round and that certainly won’t bother her, in fact, it does nothing but bolster her chance.

All three of her wins under Rules have come on ground which Timeform described as ‘heavy’ and she looked good when putting some useful rivals to the sword in the Hampton Novices’ Chase at Warwick in January. The third has given that form a boost since and Galia des Liteaux arrives very much unexposed as a chaser and at three miles. It really is a case of the wetter the better for her.

    Wednesday 14:50 – Coral Cup – Good Risk At All

    Good Risk At All

    Good Risk At All was one of the best around in bumpers in 2020/21, beating recent wide-margin Kingwell Hurdle winner I Like To Move It on his final start in that sphere, but it took him a little while to warm to the task over hurdles, opening his account at the fourth attempt in a heavy-ground handicap at Ascot just over a year ago. That was a seriously impressive display under a very confident ride and he was still extending away on the bridle to beat some solid yardsticks by nine lengths.

    Connections rolled the dice in the Grade 1 Mersey Novices’ Hurdle at Aintree next time but that proved a step too far, particularly back on a sound surface. Good Risk At All resumed his progress in no uncertain ways in another heavy-ground handicap at Carlisle on his return in October, again leaving the impression he has the ability to make up into a graded performer when conditions allow. He didn’t appear to stay three miles at Haydock last time so that run can be ignored and, if the ground stays as it is, or even worsens, Good Risk At All would have a massive chance in the Coral Cup (his only entry).

    Wednesday 16:50 – Grand Annual – Andy Dufresne

    Andy Dufresne

    Andy Dufresne burst on to the scene a few years ago and looked like a potential top-notcher and, while he hasn’t quite reached that heights that at least I expected, he is still a high-class chaser at his best. He won his first two starts over fences, notably a Grade 3 at Navan, but he didn’t quite cut it at Grade 1 level as a novice, and only saw the track three times last season.

    One of those starts came in this race where he only just failed to land a gamble, unlucky to bump into one on a going day who was well handicapped on the pick of his form and went from pillar to post. That came on heavy ground and it is worth noting that all of his victories over obstacles under Rules have come with either ‘soft’ or ‘heavy’ in the going description. Andy Dufresne has seemingly been brought along again with this race in mind this season and, racing from the same mark as 12 months ago, he has to be a big player on ground softer than good.

    Thursday 14:10 – Pertemps Network Final – Maxxum

    Maxxum

    Maxxum was nothing more than a fair hurdler for his previous trainer but he has proved a revelation for Gordon Elliott this season, narrowly failing to land a gamble on his stable debut on good ground, but absolutely sluicing up on his next two starts at Navan and Leopardstown (both on soft) in the style of one miles ahead of his mark.

    He was a short-priced favourite for this race before meeting with defeat in a big-field handicap at Leopardstown last month, but it wouldn’t be wise to judge him too harshly on that run, as he was badly hampered on the home turn when making a move into contention, and he reportedly suffered a graze during the race, too. Maxxum remains more than fairly treated on his British mark and his chances will only increase if the ground is still soft on Thursday.

    Thursday 15:30 – Stayers’ Hurdle – Teahupoo

    Teahupoo

    The Stayers’ Hurdle is easily the most open of the Championship races at this year’s Cheltenham Festival but I have long been keen on the chances of Teahupoo and the change in ground really will be music to Gordon Elliott’s ears regarding this fella.

    He was no slouch over two miles, winning six of his first eight starts under Rules at around that distance, but his much improved display when beating Klassical Dream, Honeysuckle et al over two and a half miles in the Hatton’s Grace prompted connections to go the staying route and he could hardly have been more impressive when coasting home on his first try at three miles in the Galmoy Hurdle last time. Admittedly, the competition wasn’t strong, but he didn’t even come out of third gear and given how important some ease in the ground is to him it has to enhance his chance further.

    Timeform’s best Cheltenham bets:

    Wednesday 14:10 – Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase – Galia Des Liteaux
    Wednesday 14:50 – Coral Cup – Good Risk At All
    Wednesday 16:50 – Grand Annual – Andy Dufresne
    Thursday 14:10 – Pertemps Network Final – Maxxum
    Thursday 15:30 – Stayers’ Hurdle – Teahupoo

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