Horse Racing Tips: 7 shrewd punts from Timeform at Carlisle on Thursday

Smart punts from the clever gang.

Carlisle Racecourse

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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

13:55 Mister Whitaker

MISTER WHITAKER was a fixture in the major handicap chases when trained by Mick Channon, enjoying his biggest day when successful at the Cheltenham Festival back in 2018. Bought for £70,000 in the spring, he makes his debut here for the in-form Donald McCain yard (sent out 10 winners in the last 14 days) and there is little doubt he has a class edge over his rivals now back in novice company over hurdles.

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14:30 Ahoy Senor

AHOY SENOR looked an exciting prospect when winning the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle at Aintree in April, making all to beat Bravemansgame by seven lengths in impressive fashion. That was a smart performance on just his second start over hurdles and his connections have understandably made the decision to go chasing with him this season. A strong gelding who won a point-to-point, he should take well to fences and this looks a good opportunity for him to make a winning debut on the way to bigger and better things.

15:05 Ashoka

ASHOKA returned from a year off with back-to-back victories in 2019, demonstrating that he goes well fresh. He needs to bounce back from a couple of below-par efforts last season, but the break should have done him good and he looks potentially well treated now back over hurdles. After all, he is rated 15 lb lower in this sphere than when registering his last win over fences, so it could be worth giving him a chance at an attractive price.

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15:40 Present Chief

PRESENT CHIEF shaped with plenty of promise when third on his chasing debut at Worcester last month, giving every indication that he’ll win races over fences. He was beaten just a length and a half and, somewhat surprisingly, the handicapper has dropped him to a BHA mark of 122 on the back of that effort. He is likely to improve for the run, both in terms of experience and fitness, and another bold bid is expected.

16:15 Sambezi

SAMBEZI showed fairly useful form in two starts over hurdles, producing his best effort when second in a strong race at Sedgefield in February. He now makes the switch to chasing and a BHA mark of 120 looks potentially lenient if he can go on improving in this sphere. His background in point-to-points also gives cause for optimism and it will be interesting to see whether there is much support for him in the betting.

Carlisle

16:50 On Springs

ON SPRINGS showed improved form when fourth on his handicap debut at Hereford in March, plugging on in the straight to pass the post over eight lengths behind the winner. He lines up from the same mark here, but the booking of Luca Morgan, who is good value for his 5 lb claim, should help him to get more competitive. The application of first-time cheekpieces could also work in his favour and he is worth another chance to get off the mark.

17:20 Mcgarry

MCGARRY could be the way to go in a wide-open finale. He has come down a long way in the weights and the way he shaped when last seen at Sedgefield in March suggests he is up to winning races at this lowly level. He should be suited by stepping back up to two and a half miles and the market is likely to provide a good guide as to what is expected of him.

Carlisle tips on Thursday

13:55 Mister Whitaker
14:30 Ahoy Senor
15:05 Ashoka
15:40 Present Chief
16:15 Sambezi
16:50 On Springs
17:20 Mcgarry

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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