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13:45 Newmarket – Evident Beauty
It could be the start of a very profitable afternoon for the former champion jockey Ryan Moore as he has a really decent book of rides. Evident Beauty looks for all the world as if she will appreciate the 1m 2f trip with some ease underfoot. It’s been tipping down overnight at HQ and while she has looked a little bit one-paced in the closing stages in some races, her stamina can come into play now.
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14:05 Ascot – Hurricane Ivor
A massive improver since switching to the Haggas stable from France. He stamped himself as a Group performer when winning at Newbury last time, having won the Portland Handicap at Doncaster before that. Hurricane Ivor has to carry a 5lb penalty for that win but is not at his ceiling rating yet. He will be flashing home late with a few pacey types in here ensuring that there’s a strong gallop.
14:20 Newmarket – Fearby
It’s not very often you look at a big-runner juvenile contest and quickly settle on the classy runner immediately, but this is the exception to the rule. Fearby has been very highly-tried and proved that he gets 6 furlongs no problem. Ryan Moore is bidding to pick up another big pot with the top weight who should have enough class to overpower these rivals.
14:40 Ascot – Title
Roger Varian’s runner is building a very impressive profile and comes here off the back of another tidy victory at Doncaster last time. When you look back through his form he has faced some incredibly tough rivals including Alenquer who runs in the Arc on Sunday. Title is the youngster in the field over this 1m 4f trip and although the weight-for-age band is narrowing, he still gets a healthy 6lb allowance from his seven rivals.
14:55 Newmarket – Primo Bacio
There are lots of inter-twining form lines in this contest and there will be more than a few who feel they were unlucky in their last outing. Primo Bacio hasn’t had a clear-cut at the leaders since she bolted up in lesser company at York four runs back and looked destined for the top. Oisin Murphy is set to take over in the saddle for the first time and he can work his magic.
15:15 Ascot – Ainsdale
We have the obvious candidates in Glen Shiel and Great Ambassador who are crossing swords again, but they’re going to be very tight towards the top of the market in such a competitive contest, Ainsdale is a massive each-way price and he showed he could mix it with some decent sprinters when an unlucky fourth at Baden-Baden in Germany last time. Admittedly, he has something to find on ratings with the principals, but he won’t mind any cut in the ground. His price looks too big.
15:35 Redcar – Last Crusader
Karl Burke’s runner outran his odds at York when allowed to zip along on the front-end and then appeared to get stuck in the mud in France last time. Providing the weather holds, he should have his perfect conditions to zip down the track and collect a big pot, Chipotle and Vintage Clarets are towards the top of the market, but a look through one or two lines of form and there’s not a great deal between them and Last Crusader. He’s not had a massive amount of racing and there could be more to come.
15:50 Ascot – Qaysar
Has now dropped back to a rating 1lb below his last victory at Haydock over this trip, with that all-important ease in the ground. He’s been campaigned over slightly further and has just been flattening off slightly in the closing stages of his races. However, a strongly-run 7f will play to his strengths. Jockey Rossa Ryan is a good booking and Qaysar could be overlooked in the market with Paddy paying the 5 places.
Jason Weaver tips summary:
13:45 Newmarket – Evident Beauty
14:05 Ascot – Hurricane Ivor
14:20 Newmarket – Fearby
14:40 Ascot – Title
14:55 Newmarket – Primo Bacio
15:15 Ascot – Ainsdale
15:35 Redcar – Last Crusader
15:50 Ascot – Qaysar
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