Horse Racing tips: Jason Weaver’s 9 sweet plays for Saturday’s ITV Races

Jason has your picks sorted for the tasty cards at Ayr and Newbury.

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13:55 Ayr – Maydanny

MAYDANNY has been super consistent this season and has been thrown in at the deep end the odd time. He will appreciate dropping back to Listed company and it looks as if he may well get the front-end of the race all to himself as the two top-rated in the field are hold-up performers. Added to that, he steps back up to this 1m 2f trip which he has limited tries over, but did win over at Glorious Goodwood.

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14:15 Newbury – Hurricane Ivor

HURRICANE IVOR looked super special when winning at Doncaster in the Portland Handicap last weekend and has got a massive upside since being switched to William Haggas from France.

He seems totally flexible regarding ground conditions and looks as if he will get an ideal tow into the contest with Khaadem, another Doncaster winner, likely to make the pace for him. His trainer is keen to step him up into Group company, suggesting he feels he belongs in this grade.

14:30 Ayr – Total Commitment

TOTAL COMMITMENT is super consistent and a real credit to his trainer Simon Hodgson, who doesn’t have a very big string. He put up a great effort when not beaten far in the Stewards’ Cup at the Glorious Goodwood meeting and a reproduction of that will see him go very close in this Ayr Silver Cup Handicap. He stays 7 furlongs and that is also something that will be needed, as this looks sure to be run at a furious gallop.

14:50 Newbury – Al Aasy

AL AASY doesn’t always find as much as anticipated off the bridle, but surely dropped down to this grade he will still be swinging along as they approach a quarter mile from home? He should be very tough to beat and will be the cornerstone of many an accumulator.

15:05 Ayr – Crazyland

CRAZYLAND has been holding her form very well on the whole, with only one bad effort from her five races in her juvenile campaign so far. She was ridden a little too patiently last time and flew home late in the day to be a fast finishing third at Salisbury. She’s drawn high up towards the stand side rail, which is normally the place to be and has a few pace runners drawn around her to get a perfect tow into the contest.

15:25 Newbury – King Leonidas

KING LEONIDAS has obviously been very tricky to train as we have only seen him on three occasions and he now starts his four-year-old campaign late enough in the season. He went off favourite for a red-hot Group 3 Jersey Stakes when we last saw him at Royal Ascot last year, but he pulled himself into submission and wasn’t given a hard time once his winning opportunity had gone.

The fact that the John & Thady Gosden team decided to keep him going suggests that he retains plenty of ability and they obviously feel there are a some pay-days in him yet.

15:40 Ayr – Ostilio

OSTILIO is becoming a little bit of a ‘cliff horse’ of mine. He ran with plenty of credit when not really being put in the contest from the early stages over the 5 furlong in the Beverly Bullet Sprint Stakes last time. Up a furlong from that trip and someway below his peak rating, this looks to have been the long-term plan all along. He’s from a real good sprint academy in the Paul Midgley yard and hopefully they can land the spoils, as they have him racing on a very attractive handicap mark.

Ayr-Racecourse

16:00 Newbury – Fearby

FEARBY has proven one of the star finds of the season for his excellent rookie handler Edward Bethell, who is making a big splash in the training ranks. He just didn’t get any daylight at a vital stage at York last time and that form is bang there with the best of the juvenile division so far.

That was a fact-finding mission to see if he saw out the 6 furlongs, which he clearly did without any problem. Dhabab will be short in the market and I’m not convinced the drop back down to sprinting will prove ideal for him.

16:15 Ayr – Hong Kong Harry

HONG KONG HARRY was progressing very well in the early part of this campaign and was possibly undone by the sharp nature of the all-weather track at Lingfield last time, when his winning run came to a halt.

He has been a little keen in his races early on, but hopefully he’s starting to learn to settle a little better as he is stepped up a furlong now – which looks guaranteed to suit him as he bolted up over 7 furlongs in April. The Richard Fahey yard have won this contest on numerous occasions with an improver, and he could be well in front of his current mark of just 87.

Jason Weaver’s tips summary:

13:55 Ayr – Maydanny
14:15 Newbury – Hurricane Ivor
14:30 Ayr – Total Commitment
14:50 Newbury – Al Aasy
15:05 Ayr – Crazyland
15:25 Newbury – King Leonidas
15:40 Ayr – Ostilio
16:00 Newbury – Fearby
16:15 Ayr – Hong Kong Harry

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