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16:30 – Shamiyana
An interesting 7 furlong two-year-old Fillies Maiden to kick off proceedings and the one I like is Shamiyana. Trainer Dermot Weld has won with 20 per cent of his runners at the Foxrock track this season and if you backed all his runners at this venue, you’d be in decent profit.
Shamiyana showed plenty of ability on debut when putting in a solid effort to finish third less than a length behind the winner at the Curragh last month. She is bred in the purple being out of dual Group 2 winner Shameen and by Sea The Stars.
Shamiyana looks certain to step up from her debut run and should be well capable of putting in a decent effort now.
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17:00 – Snaffles
Jessica Harrington’s Tut Tut is sure to be popular after having excuses at the start when in a very valuable race at Naas last time out. She had shown plenty of ability on easy ground on her debut and looks the one to beat. However, I always like hot stats and Snaffles could fit the bill.
Joseph O’Brien has been doing well with his two-year-olds this season with 16 winners from the 82 runners he’s sent to post. It’s also interesting that almost half of those 82 runners have at least made the frame.
Interestingly Joseph O’Brien has won with five of the last nine runners he’s sent to post, that were priced at 5/2 or shorter. None of those nine were sent off at odds on.
Tut Tut should go well but Snaffles gets the Stat vote in this!
17:30 – Mutasarref (win)
Mutasarref caught the eye staying on under tender handling on debut over 7 furlongs at Naas in June. Dermot Weld’s charge looks sure to improve for that experience and the step up to a mile looks ideal. I’m going to split my bet and have two plays in this though, Mutasarref to win for Lucky 15 purposes but a small each-way play on Jim Bolger’s Vocal Ring.
Vocal Ring was checked at the start on heavy ground at Naas last year & never played a role in thereafter. Jim Bolger isn’t averse to getting winners here at Leopardstown and he’s given the gelding time to mature. With Kevin Manning getting the leg up it’ll be no surprise if he fills one of the places.
I’m not greedy… a place will do!
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18:00 – Windsor Pass
Windsor Pass looks sure to go well after narrowly failing over course & distance three weeks ago.
Shane Foley will surely keep her a bit closer to the pace and she can lose her maiden tag at the ninth time of asking in this interesting Fillies & Mares handicap. I also wouldn’t be surprised if Jim Bolger’s Sasta got in the shake-up too.
Willie Byrne takes off a valuable 7lb’s and the filly’s two wins were around this time last year. She also stays further than this, so if they go too fast up front she could well pick up the pieces.
Graham’s Lucky 15
16.30 Shamiyana
17.00 Snaffles
17.30 Mutasarref
18.00 Windsor Pass
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