*Odds quoted on the widget are Future Racing / Antepost prices which means that if your selection does not run in the race for whatever reason – you will lose your stake under traditional Antepost rules.
NEW TO PADDY POWER?
Fran Berry, Racing TV & SportlingLife.com pundit
Tuesday 27th July – Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup
I think Stradivarius is vulnerable. He’s a colt so his attitude is getting the better of him pre-race now. I’m very keen on Spanish Mission at the 2m trip. He’s very tactically versatile and 2m is the key for him. But I would give a big mention to Baron Samedi back up in trip if the ground is good.
The 1m 4f trip in France was too short for him last time but he ran quite well considering, behind Broome. He is the unknown quantity in the field. Trueshan needs rain but if it comes up soft, he will be a different proposition from what we’ve seen this year. At the current ante-post odds Baron Samedi is the value, for me, against Stradivarius.
Wednesday 28th July – Sussex Stakes
It’s going to be a great race. Palace Pier now misses the race unfortunately and will miss the match with Poetic Flare. I was blown away by his win at Ascot.
What he did there was a Kingman-type performance in the way he quickened up under Kevin Manning. It will be very interesting if one of the fillies, Alcohol Free or Snow Lantern, runs. They’re talking about toying with it. Mother Earth also.
Poetic Flare, for me, is the one to beat. To give you one, if there were eight runners on the day who would be a double-figure price possibly, it’s Order Of Australia. I was very taken by him at the Curragh last weekend.
Okay, he beat inferior opposition, but he had his penalty to carry as he’s a Group 1 Breeders Cup winner around a bend. He just might have the tactical speed around that track to outrun his odds.
However, if the Poetic Flare that we saw at Ascot turns up, he wins.
Thursday 29th July – Nassau Stakes
I can see Love’s connections working back from the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe in October, Snowfall not withstanding. I can see Love turning up in this race rather than Saturday’s King George VI Stakes at Royal Ascot.
The more you look at it, 1m 4f is not her ideal trip, but she’s way better than the opposition to win another Group 1 over 1m 2f.
She may go for the Irish Champion Stakes in September, but stablemate St Mark’s Basilica will probably go there. It’s the ideal trip for him. Maybe the next time we see Love at 1m 4f will be the Prix de L’Arc at Longchamp? Santa Barbara is the interesting one in this race. If she pitched up here on the back of that Belmont Oaks win in America, it could play to her strengths of running at a fast pace, on a turning track.
Snow Lantern stepping up in trip will be very interesting. I’d say she will stay but she’s so keen in the run that she might not allow herself the chance to see out this trip. She could over-race, that’s why I can see her going to 1m, maybe 1m 2f possibly. Joan of Arc has to be mentioned as well. Is she going to the French Oaks? 1m 2f is probably her ideal trip.
It’s a nice problems to have but it will be interesting to see how Ballydoyle split them up.
Ruby Walsh, RTE, RTV pundit & Paddy Power Racing Ambassador
Tuesday 27th July – Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup
Will this be redemption for Stradivarius? Possibly. I wouldn’t be with him. I didn’t like him at the start at Royal Ascot. I think he ended up in the wrong place in the race, because he wasn’t going. I thought Frankie Dettori was gambling on him from Swinley Bottom because he didn’t have the horse to get out and go and win the race.
He knew he needed a bit of luck, he didn’t get it. He got stopped. Would he have been second?
Possibly, I think he could be done. He’s a seven-year-old colt. I don’t think he’s getting any easier to train and I’d be against him. What I’d back to beat him, that’s a different question. Maybe Trueshan?
I just couldn’t see myself backing Stradivarius at the current prices. I’d oppose him.
Wednesday 28th July – Sussex Stakes
I think this is going to cut up and it will be Poetic Flare. He’ll be a lot shorter on the day than whatever he is now.
Thursday 29th July – Nassau Stakes
I think this all revolves around Love and if she goes to the King George now. I read that Pyledriver is out of the King George and he would have influenced Ballydoyle’s decision. I think with Snowfall winning at the weekend, that will also have to start coming into the thinking of what Ballydoyle are going to do and where they’re going. St Mark’s Basilica, Snowfall and Love – how do they start splitting them up?
They’re going to want to try and win with them as much as they can, they’re not going to keep pigeonholing them into the same races. Will they prefer a softer touch for Love in Goodwood or the harder race that she might possibly get in the King George?
She’s a filly… Group 1 King George on her pedigree or the Group 1 Nassau? Will one make a huge difference over the other? Love and Santa Barbara, I’d say they are the value in the race because if either one turns up, I can’t see them being the current prices.
DON’T MISS
- CHECK OUT OUR BRAND NEW SNAZZY RACECARDS FOR EVERY SINGLE RACE TODAY
- … THEN GET ALL THE WINNERS BEFORE ANYONE ELSE WITH OUR FAST RESULTS
Frank Hickey, Paddy Power Trader
Tuesday 27th July – Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup
I agree with the lads. Stradivarius, three of his last four runs have been disappointing and even his win in the Sagaro Stakes is hardly form to be getting carried away with. I think I heard that Sir Ron Priestley might be getting supplemented and if he was, I’d probably want to get involved.
But I don’t think it’s a race you need to be playing ante-post. At declaration stage you’ll know what’s running and I’d be more inclined to back him at whatever price he’ll be. If eight or more run he’ll be 5/1, 6/1 and back him each-way because I don’t fancy Stradivarius at all.
He’s very vulnerable as the lads have said.
Wednesday 28th July – Sussex Stakes
Palace Pier sidesteps this race and heads to France. I think he’s very much a staying miler rather than a ‘turn of pace’ miler anyway and I would have envisaged Poetic Flare getting away from the field two furlongs out and forcing them to catch him. I am very, very strong on Poetic Flair winning.
Thursday 29th July – Nassau Stakes
I’m surprised the lads think Love will end up in the Nassau Stakes, because I didn’t think she would. I thought she was very likely to run in the King George and is priced accordingly. If we’ve got it wrong you can jump on our price! Snowfall definitely won’t run. The only thing about Love is, she is a bit ground depandant and if you’re putting all your eggs in that basket and the ground turns up soft or heavy, you know, you could have missed a good few opportunities.
For me, looking at it, Audarya’s still a decent price. She will almost-certainly run here. Her progression last year was phenomenal. She won a handicap at Newcastle off a mark of 99, on her next start it was a win at Deauville in the Prix Jean Romanet, she was third in the Prix de l’Opera and she won the Breeders’ Cup for fillies and mares.
She was only 3/4 of a length behind Love at Ascot last time, she was making her reappearance as well off a long break. If Love was running here she’d be really short and Audarya will definitely run. Do you have to back it antepost? No.
If Love is declared for the King George VI Stakes on Saturday come Thursday’s final field declaration time, I’d definitely be backing Audarya in this.
*Odds quoted on the widget are Future Racing / Antepost prices which means that if your selection does not run in the race for whatever reason – you will lose your stake under traditional Antepost rules.
READ MORE
- Horse Racing Tips: Galway Festival preview from Ruby Walsh, Fran Berry & Frank Hickey
- Horse Racing: Golden Pal can shine in the Nunthorpe Stakes at York
- Galway Races antepost favourites for 3 of the big renewals at 2021 Festival
The Paddy Power Guide To Responsible Gambling – Everything You Need To Know
