1.55pm – Addeybb
ADDEYBB has to concede a 7lb penalty here and there is a slight worry that he may be using this as a stepping stone to next month’s Champion Stakes but he still should take a bit of beating here down in grade.
He was 2nd last season to Magical in the Champion Stakes and won two Group 1’s in Australia this season before a creditable 2nd in the Prince of Wales Stakes at Ascot.
There should be enough dig in the ground for him and I think he only has Fox Chairman to worry about but should have enough to see him off.
2.30pm – Atalanta’s Boy
King’s Lynn could be thrown in here off a mark of 94 but I think his draw in 6 is a negative and he is very inexperienced for a handicap like this and I think he is worth opposing at a relatively short price.
The one I like against him is ATALANTA’S BOY. Very progressive in handicaps, he is 5 from 10 since going handicapping and he appears to be improving this season with every start. He won at Chelmsford off 81 and was just touched off at Windsor off a mark of 86.
He was backed from 25/1 into 11/1 in the Steward’s Cup but missed the break by ten lengths and had no chance after that. He got back on track with an authoritative win at Goodwood last time off 88 and while he has a 5lb penalty here, I think he is capable of defying it.
He is drawn high which looks to be a positive and everything looks in place for a big run and Paddy is offering 6 places here.
3.05pm – Umm Kulthum
UMM KULTHUM clocked a really fast sectional when making an impressive winning debut at Thirsk and wasn’t disgraced up to Group 2 level last time when 3rd in the Lowther at York.
She was a bit green there and could easily improve plenty for that experience and if she does, she should prove difficult to beat in a race that looks high in numbers but not so high in depth.
3.40pm – Wise Counsel
WISE COUNSEL has the profile of a horse that may well have been laid out for this race. A useful juvenile, he was only a length behind the top class San Donato and Hello Youmzain at Haydock and on his very next start he easily account for Angel Alexander.
Angel Alexander actually won this race last year off a mark of 101. Wise Counsel is already a course winner off a mark of 91 and was only a beaten a length and a half at Listed level on his reappearance this season. He was a little unlucky there but was off until a run at Ascot two weeks ago and his effort there screamed prep to me.
The application of cheekpieces can aid his cause and Danny Tudhope gets back on board, which is a positive as he is 2-4 on him. The final positive is that he is drawn high, which appeared to be an advantage watching Friday’s races.
He has pace on his outside in Bungee Jump and we can back him each way with Paddy offering a massive 7 places.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget
Frank Hickey’s Ayr bet summary – Saturday, September 19
1.55pm – Addeybb
2.30pm – Atalanta’s Boy
3.05pm – Umm Kulthum
3.40pm – Wise Counsel
RECOMMENDED READING:
- Placing bets is easier than ever with Paddy Power News’ live odds banners
- Horse Racing tips: Matt Chapman’s 8 sweet selections for Saturday’s ITV coverage
- Horse Racing tips: Jason Weaver’s 8 great punts for Saturday’s ITV action
The Paddy Power Guide To Responsible Gambling – Everything You Need To Know
The latest racing odds are on PaddyPower.com now