Only Peru now stand between Brazil and what will be their 20th appearance in the final of the Copa America. Selecao have won the tournament nine times with Uruguay and Argentina still out ranking them with 15 and 14 titles respectively.
They’ve now gone 12 games without a loss and are massive favourites for the win here. Peru have only lost one of their last six fixtures though, and will be eager for revenge having lost the 2019 final to Brazil. Let’s dig into the stats and find the three best bets for this Copa America semi-final.
The odds are pretty massive here and we reckon there’s plenty of value to be had. Much has been made of Brazil’s defence over the tournament so far, and in their seven matches prior to their opening game against Venezuela they had only conceded in one of them.
Over the tournament they’ve now played five matches and have kept three clean sheets, conceding goals against Colombia and Ecuador, who were one of the worst teams in the competition.
Tuesday 00:00 – Brazil v Peru
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There’s a healthy rivalry between the sides here and this will be their sixth meeting since mid-2019, with Brazil winning four and Peru one. Over 3.5 goals occurred in four and Both Teams to Score landed in two of those games. What’s swinging Both Teams To Score here for us is that Brazil’s defence hasn’t looked so solid over their last couple of matches.
They allowed Colombia and Ecuador to find net and Peru have been pretty good in front of goal over the tournament so far, score a total of seven over their last four matches. Peru have the added motivation of extracting some revenge for their loss in the 2019 final and they should be good for at least one here against Brazil.
Brazil have been dogged in their approach to their matches so far. Manager Tite has them working under a pretty simple, yet effective, gameplan; score early, defend the lead and pick them off on the counter as time ticks down. As such, The Brazilian have been leading 1-0 at the half-time break in three of their five tournament games, with one of the other games seeing the goal coming in the 46th minute.
Peru have conceded four first half goals over their five Copa America matches so far, and with Brazil’s gameplan proving to be so effective over the tournament, we reckon the odds for a 1-0 half-time scoreline are too good to turn down here.
We’re going for the riskier one here, even though the Over 2.5 goals option is worthy of a shout as well. We’ve siding for the option with more goals though largely because of the budding, recent rivalry developing between the sides.
Of those five previous matches between the pair mentioned above, Over 3.5 goals has landed in four of them – with Brazil scoring a total of 16 goals to Peru’s four. Brazil should have more than enough to ensure they’re going to be the ones facing off against either Argentina or Colombia on July 10th and with both teams in good goal-scoring form, we’re counting on seeing plenty of goalmouth action here.
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