Football Tips: Our 3 best bets for Lazio v Bayern Munich on Tuesday

Lazio face Bayern Munich in the Champions League on Tuesday and our tipster Paddy Murphy has been doing his homework.

By / Football Tips / 4 years ago

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

There’s some very exciting Champions League encounters coming our way this week and here we’re looking at Lazio who take on holders Bayern Munich in Rome. We’re going to dive into the stats and find three different kinds of bets here; a short-priced punt, a value bet and a long-odds shot.

Short-priced punt: Both Teams to Score

The toss-up here is really between Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals coming in. Both teams are actually doing quite well when it comes to clean sheets of late but Lazio keeping clean sheets against the likes of Sampdoria and Cagliari, and Bayern keeping clean sheets against Hertha Berlin and Al Ahly aren’t good references for a clash of this magnitude.

Tuesday 8pm: Lazio v Bayern Munich
BT Sport 3

Looking at Lazio’s European form, all six of their Group Stage Champions League matches saw BTTS landing and it landed in four of Bayern’s matches. Lazio scored 11 and conceded seven over their six group matches while Bayern scored 18 and conceded five and with the teams averaging 1.50 and 2.08 goals in the home/away league matches this season you’d certainly expect both to get on the scoresheet here.

Value bet: Bayern Munich HT/FT

Lazio have been in great form of late, particularly at home where they’ve won all seven of their most previous fixtures at the Stadio Olimpico. Bayern’s hasn’t been as good it must be said, they’ve drawn and lost their two most previous fixtures but had been on a run of seven victories in-a-row prior to that. It’s Bayern’s experience in the Champions League that’s going to make all the difference here. Lazio only won two of their six Group Stage matches, all of the rest were draws while Bayern’s Champions League form has seen them winning 16 out of their last 18 matches.

Over their six Group Stage matches Bayern would have won this HT/FT bet four times. And if we look at just their away form in the Champions League they’d have won this bet in six out of their last nine (not including last season’s final). No doubt Lazio are a good side but those stats and the odds on offer mean we’re getting some mighty value here.

HansDieterFlickBayernMunichMay20.jpg

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Long-odds shot: Robert Lewandowski to Score & Bayern to Win 1-3

Robert Lewandowski continues to impress and shows no sign of losing his golden touch. He has 26 goals in 21 Bundesliga matches this season and scored three in his four CL matches this campaign. He’s scored a total of nine over his last 11 matches in a Bayern shirt and got the first Bayern goal in six of those 11, opening the scoring in the match in four.

There’s plenty of goals in these teams as we’ve shown above with the average amount of goals they’re scoring. Over 3.5 goals has been seen in three out of five recent Lazio matches and in three out of five recent Bayern matches too, not including their Club World Cup matches. Bayern’s experience at this level will make all the difference here and a 1-3 scoreline is one of the most likely according to the odds, add Bayern’s top scorer into the mix and our long-odds shot here looks like it has a very decent chance at coming in.

Lazio v Bayern Munich betting tips summary:

Short-priced punt: Both Teams to Score
Value bet: Bayern Munich HT/FT
Long-odds shot: Robert Lewandowski to Score & Bayern to Win 1-3

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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