*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are correct at time of publication but subject to change
Draw
Chelsea have been on an excellent run of form recently, but they have failed to produce against any top-level club they have come up against. It’s all well and good beating the Sheffield Uniteds and Newcastles of the world, but Chelsea need to show a bit more against the likes of Sevilla, Manchester United and Tottenham, who all drew 0-0 with Frank Lampard’s charges without really giving up any opportunities.
Lampard seems to sacrifice his attacking output for big games to make sure that the defensive issues that have haunted his side in the past don’t return with a vengeance. And his tactics seem to work in terms of keeping the opposition out, but they are so impotent up front that it’s hard to see them ever scoring in a big game again.
He is likely to employ similarly cautious tactics in Seville on Wednesday night, where a draw would virtually guarantee his side top spot in Group E. Sevilla and Chelsea are neck and neck at the top of the group, but Sevilla’s run of narrow one-goal wins means that they trail Chelsea significantly on goal difference.
The Spanish side have been unconvincing in their three-game winning streak, but they are well-coached and Lampard will err on the side of caution on Wednesday night.
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Under 2.5 goals
Chelsea have failed to score on four occasions this season – against Liverpool, Sevilla, Manchester United, and Tottenham. They have barely had a shot in anger in any of those games and almost seem to be playing for a point, and it could be a case of more of the same on Wednesday night.
Even if Chelsea do manage to score, it’s hard to see them doing so twice, while it is equally hard to see Sevilla breaching the rigid Chelsea defence more than once, well-coached though they are. Sevilla don’t score a huge amount of goals themselves, pointing to a low-scoring clash on Wednesday.
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Timo Werner to have two or more shots on target
Goals may be hard to come by on Wednesday night, but that won’t stop Timo Werner from trying. Chelsea’s German forward has averaged 2.3 shots-per-game in both the Premier League and Champions League since signing for RB Leipzig, according to whoscored.com, and is almost certain to start at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan on Wednesday.
Werner is Chelsea’s most-dangerous forward by far, and is surely their best chance of scoring against Sevilla. It is not unrealistic that he’ll have two shots on target on Wednesday.
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Sevilla under 0.5 goals in the first half
Whatever happens on Wednesday, it is likely to be a cagey opening 45 minutes. Chelsea won’t give Sevilla a lot of space to attack into in an attempt to stifle their attacking threat and it could frustrate the hosts. Sevilla have performed quite poorly in the first half of their four Champions League games so far this season, going in 0-0 against both Chelsea and Rennes, before going in 2-1 down against Krasnodar at home.
They led 1-0 at half time in their other game against the Russians, but that is not saying much given Krasnodar’s performances in the Champions League this season. Sevilla tend to finish games stronger than they start them in Europe and that could very well be the case again on Wednesday.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are correct at time of publication but subject to change
Sevilla v Chelsea bet summary – Wednesday, December 2
Draw
Under 2.5 goals
Timo Werner to have two or more shots on target
Sevilla under 0.5 goals in the first half
All four bets in a Same Game Multi produce odds of around 25/1
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