Wolves got off to the dream start last week, running out 2-0 winners against Sheffield United at Bramall Lane, a place where only six teams won last season in the Premier League.
Nuno’s side have played with incredible consistency since arriving back in the top flight, finishing fifth in our xG table in both seasons and showing that they really are one of the Premier League’s best.
Recent meetings with Manchester City also bode well for Wolves, who have lost just one of four since they earned promotion in 17/18 and winning the last two meetings, including a sensational turnaround at Molineux last season when 2-0 down.
Manchester City face a tough task in their first Premier League game of the 20/21 season, as they look to regain the Premier League title having been brushed aside by Liverpool last season. Pep Guardiola’s side posted fantastic underlying numbers last season (2.7 xGF, 1.0 xGA per game), so why did they finish 18 points behind the champions?
One reason is their defence. When you look at big chances conceded, City allowed 37 to Wolves’ 27 despite conceding 120 fewer shots, meaning that when City conceded a chance last season, more often than not it was a high-quality one.
City have the capability to blow any team out of the water in attack, but they are gettable defensively, and Aymeric Laporte is a doubt for this game. Wolves are strongly fancied to avoid defeat in this one and are a huge value price in the Double Chance market.
Goals are expected given both teams ability in attack, with Wolves expected to really test City’s back-line as they managed in both of last season’s meetings.
Wolves have many different ways of creating chances efficiently, and we know what Guardiola’s side are capable of in attack having racked up over 100 xGF last season.
No Laporte is a worry for them defensively, so both teams to score looks a serious runner at Molineux on Monday night.
Raul Jimenez opened the scoring at Bramall Lane last week with a sensational volley, and he could have added a few more in the second half with the amount of chances that fell to him.
He averaged 0.51 xG/avg match last season, and was consistently impressive from any type of scoring occasion – counter-attack, set-pieces etc.
I’m expecting another explosive start to the game from Wolves, and wouldn’t be surprised if the caught City napping. Wolves’ Mexican striker looks a big price to open the scoring given he is their main scoring option.
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