UK General Election Constituency Predictions
Aldershot – Labour
Chichester – Liberal Democrat
Clacton – Reform UK
Godalming and Ash – Liberal Democrat
Huntingdon – Conservative
Islington North – Jeremy Corbyn
North East Somerset and Hanham – Labour
Portsmouth North – Conservative
Richmond and Northallerton – Conservative
Witney – Liberal Democrat
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
Voters in the 650 constituencies across the United Kingdom are set to head to their local polling station for the 2024 General Election on Thursday, July 4.
After 14 years of Conservative rule, the opinion polls suggest the people of the UK are set to boot Rishi Sunak’s gang from power and hand Keir Starmer’s Labour a landslide majority.
There is chitter chatter that the Tories are in danger of losing more than 200 seats, while constituencies where they boast huge majorities could be at risk.
Whether it’s in favour of Labour or the Liberal Democrats, a whole host of areas could be set to turn their backs on the Conservatives.
There are other exciting battlegrounds across the UK, however, including Islington North where former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is taking on his old party and Clacton where Nigel Farage is hoping to win a seat in the House of Commons at the eighth time of asking.
I’ve run the rule over 10 key constituencies ahead of the big vote and predicted the winners, otherwise, UK General Election constituency odds can be found on the Paddy Power website and Paddy Power app.
Read More: Next Conservative Leader Odds | Next Labour Leader Odds | UK General Election Predictions | UK General Election Betting Tips
Aldershot – Labour
A constituency where Rishi Sunak’s D-Day debacle could cost the Conservatives votes due to Aldershot’s proud military connections.
Aldershot has returned a Conservative to the House of Commons at every vote since its creation in 1918 but the most recent MP, Leo Docherty, faces the threat of Reform UK taking support from his base and the potential for tactical voting boosting a Labour Party appealing to this sort of area.
Chichester – Liberal Democrat
The Liberal Democrats are hoping to exact revenge on the Conservatives and win as many seats as possible in their traditional southern heartlands.
Chichester, which has been held by the Tories since the time of Queen Victoria bar one year of Liberal representation, has emerged as a target for Ed Davey and their canvassing data must have been encouraging as the party leader stopped in the constituency during his nationwide campaign.
A 21,490 majority looks difficult to overturn but Reform UK are standing this time around, which should further impact Tory candidate Gillian Keegan’s total.
Clacton – Reform UK
The setting for Nigel Farage’s latest attempt to gain a seat in the House of Commons.
The polls point towards the Reform UK comfortably winning the Essex constituency and it’s no surprise he is the red-hot favourite.
Godalming and Ash – Liberal Democrat
Jeremy Hunt, the Chancellor of the Exchequer and one of the most prominent figures of the last 14 years of Conservative rule, is facing a huge fight from the Liberal Democrats in Surrey.
It is the type of traditional Tory stronghold that is likely to be lost to the Lib Dems and provide one of the most high-profile defeats of the whole night.
Huntingdon – Conservative
If the Conservatives were to lose Huntingdon, the seat of former Prime Minister John Major, then they would be entering extinction territory.
A 19,383 majority is likely to be significantly slashed by Labour, although I think new candidate Ben Obese-Jecty will just about hold the seat.
Islington North – Jeremy Corbyn
This proper ding-dong battle in north London will have little bearing on the overall result of the General Election, but it would be significant if Jeremy Corbyn is returned to Parliament outside of the Labour machine.
A recent constituency poll suggested the veteran socialist is a distant second to his former party’s candidate, although his personal popularity in the area and a motivated Get Out The Vote operation could win him the prize.
North East Somerset and Hanham – Labour
Jacob Rees-Mogg looks like being consigned to the history books – probably where he feels most comfortable – as Labour are the hot favourites to win this new constituency.
Polling suggests Dan Norris is set for an emphatic victory as Reform are likely to eat into the Tory vote and the Liberal Democrats have not earmarked it as a major target.
Portsmouth North – Conservative
A constituency that could have major ramifications for the Conservatives future. If Penny Mordaunt holds on then she would be a leading contender to succeed Rishi Sunak as Tory bigwig, if she loses then the grassroots would have to find a new candidate to rally around.
While Mordaunt has won the last four votes in the seat, the area has a history of voting Labour during the Tony Blair era – although they were marginal successes – and UKIP’s strong third place in 2015 suggests Reform will perform well.
It’ll be close but I don’t think it’s quite the open goal for Labour that Paddy Power’s betting suggests and a Conservative win at odds-against looks decent value.
Richmond and Northallerton – Conservative
Rishi Sunak is hoping to avoid becoming the first Prime Minister in history to lose his seat in a General Election and the fact he has been campaigning in the constituency suggests his local team are concerned.
It is a brand new seat mainly comprising his former constituency of Richmond (Yorks) but he should just about scrape home, which would leave him facing a spell on the backbenches if his party are hammered all over the UK.
Witney – Liberal Democrat
The area of David Cameron’s former seat has been trending towards the Liberal Democrats in recent years and it would only be a minor surprise if Charlie Maynard can beat Robert Courts.
A 15,177 majority will be tricky to overturn, but Reform UK are likely to eat into the Tory vote and it could flip by the slimmest of margins.
UK General Election Constituency Predictions
Aldershot – Labour
Chichester – Liberal Democrat
Clacton – Reform UK
Godalming and Ash – Liberal Democrat
Huntingdon – Conservative
Islington North – Jeremy Corbyn
North East Somerset and Hanham – Labour
Portsmouth North – Conservative
Richmond and Northallerton – Conservative
Witney – Liberal Democrat
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
Read More on the 2024 UK General Election
- Gallop over to Paddy Power News for all the latest betting tips
- When is the next UK General Election? Everything you need to know
- Who will win the UK General Election? Paddy Power’s latest betting odds
- How many seats are needed to win a majority in the House of Commons?
The Paddy Power Guide To Safer Gambling – Everything You Need To Know
