NFL Tips: Thursday’s 31/1 Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys Bet Builder

The Cowboys have a second Thursday game in a row as they host Seattle to open Week 13

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Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys Bet Builder Tips

Friday, 1:20am, Live on Sky Sports NFL

Handicap: Seattle Seahawks +9
Geno Smith – Under 222.5 Passing Yards
DK Metcalf – Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
Jake Ferguson – Under 35.5 Receiving Yards
Dak Prescott – Under 276.5 Passing Yards

Thursday nights bring about some interesting counterpoints.

For example, this week we see Dallas and Seattle battle it out. One team has frequently looked underwhelming on paper but produced Championship sides, while the other has always had somewhat of a star-studded team and failed to hoist Vince Lombardi in thirty years. It’s these stylistic narratives I enjoy the most.

But this specific matchup does bring about some questions – are the Seahawks going to sneak into the NFC Wild Card spot, or do Dallas challenge to be the number one seed in all of football, and become favourites to win it all?

I tend to side with history. Don’t shoot me.

Handicap: Seattle Seahawks +9

The Cowboys struggle against teams who can run the ball efficiently and who avoid turnovers of same.

This was obvious against the Niners in their blowout loss, against the James Conner/Josh Dobbs tandem of Arizona and against Philly last time out.

If you’re an efficient running team, then Micah Parsons and co cannot pin their ears back and rush the passer, forcing sacks or takeaways.

Geno Smith – Under 222.5 Passing Yards

Pete Carroll will not give in to Dallas’ offer of stacking the box and inviting them to pass deep. He’s not stupid enough and knows that’s low-hanging fruit that’ll ultimately turn into some degree of food poisoning.

His long-term commitment to running the ball is one of the surest bets in the sport, and that only becomes more solidified when he plays the best passing defense in football.

DK Metcalf – Over 59.5 Receiving Yards

It’s not unfair to say that keeping Geno Smith has probably held Seattle back considerably this year, even if based on last year’s evidence, it was the right thing to do.

Finding Jaxon Smith-Njigba underneath means that Geno has to think too much about it. And Lockett’s age is starting to catch up with him. Given they haven’t got a tight end or a good pass catcher to their name, they’re starting to realise their best approach in the passing game is to target DK Metcalf.

His 94 receiving yards last week saw them in with a fighting chance to beat the Rams, and his favourite target now looks like his favourite target again.

Jake Ferguson – Under 35.5 Receiving Yards

One of the things I’ve learned over the years is just how much fantasy football engagement has overlapped with public opinion.

Jake Ferguson was one of those.

Because tight end is a really tricky position to draft in a virtual sense, everyone clings to it. Ferguson still remains in vogue despite the fact he’s only hit north of 50 receiving yards twice all season – against New England and  against Philadelphia: two teams with outstanding cornerback coaching and limited middle linebacker ability.

Shock.

Seattle won’t have an issue defending Ferguson.

Dak Prescott – Under 276.5 Passing Yards

The Seahawks have coughed up 14 rushing touchdowns this year. Only four teams have given up more and they’re all picking well up the draft order next year, bar maybe Indianapolis.

Teams are rushing for a first down on 25.6% of their attempts against the Seahawks. Given the deep playoff run the Cowboys are about to make, they’ll take any chance they can to hide their exotic passing plays.

    Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys Bet Builder Tips

    Handicap: Seattle Seahawks +9
    Geno Smith – Under 222.5 Passing Yards
    DK Metcalf – Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
    Jake Ferguson – Under 35.5 Receiving Yards
    Dak Prescott – Under 276.5 Passing Yards

    *All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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