UFC Tips: Our trader’s pick of the #WhatOddsPaddy punts for UFC 300

UFC powerhouse Aaron Nolan give us his 4 best #WhatOddsPaddy picks for Saturday night's bouts.

Alex Pereira, ufc, april 2024

UFC 299 BETTING TIPS

*Times listed are all estimated GMT start time

11:10pm Cody Garbrandt v Deiveson Figueiredo

3:15am Bo Nickal v Cody Brundage

4:15am Justin Gaethje v Max Holloway

5:15am Alex Pereira v Jamahal Hill

 

UFC 300
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States
TV: TNT Sports

With Paddy’s UFC 300 offer – Place a #WhatOddsPaddy bet on UFC 300 and get a free bet on any sport, I wanted to put together some of my favourite selections for your qualifying bet. Opt in required. Click here for full T&Cs.

Cody Garbrandt v Deiveson Figueiredo – Cody Garbrandt to Win in the 1st 3 Minutes of the Fight

Interested in a big #WhatOddsPaddy selection on a fight you can stay up for without needing a late-night coffee or Monster? I’ve got just the ticket. The first fight of the night is Cody Garbrandt vs Deiveson Figueiredo starting at 11:10pm.

Cody ‘No Love’ has form for early knockouts with 8 first round knockouts in his career. So Cody Garbrandt to Win in the 1st 3 Minutes of the Fight, looks appealing to me.

Bo Nickal v Cody Brundage – Bo Nickal to Win & Round 2 to Start

Another short-price #WhatOddsPaddy selection I see value in takes us to the most hyped prospect on the roster and shortest-price favourite on the card – Bo Nickal who takes on Cody Brundage.

Bo Nickal lacks experience to justify the 1/20 price. He doesn’t have a jiu-jitsu black belt or any medals in a striking art. He’s a highly decorated wrestler stepping into the cage for just the 6th time in his young MMA career. I still think he’s going to win but there’s value in betting on it to taking a bit longer than expected.

I really like Bo Nickal to Win & Round 2 to Start.

Justin Gaethje v Max Holloway – Justin Gaethje to Win in the 1st 3 Minutes of the Fight

This is another one that caught my eye: Max Halloway has never been knocked out mind. But he’s also never faced Justin Gaethje. Max is going up in weight too. He won’t be used to power at 155lbs. Gaethje doesn’t mess around either. A fun bet for me.

Alex Pereira v Jamahal Hill – Alex Pereira by KO/TKO or Jamahal Hill by Points

I think Pereira will get the knockout finish. He has 5 knockouts in 7 fights in the UFC. But Jamahal Hill is deceptively nice on his feet. He has the 5th best striking differential in the UFC. Striking differential is the average significant strikes landed per minute minus the average significant strikes absorbed per minute. So he lands a lot more shots than he takes.

If he can keep that up against Pereira, he’ll win a lot of rounds and could win by decision.

UFC 299 BETTING TIPS

*Times listed are all estimated GMT start time

11:10pm Cody Garbrandt v Deiveson Figueiredo

3:15am Bo Nickal v Cody Brundage

4:15am Justin Gaethje v Max Holloway

5:15am Alex Pereira v Jamahal Hill

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