Ruby’s Ryanair Tip non runner money back
Allaho to win
Conflated – non runner no bet
The Cheltenham Festival 2023 is edging ever closer and, with the off slowly looming in to view, we’ve got jump jockey icon turned tactical guru Ruby Walsh and top pundit Rory Delargy with us every week to hopefully get you more bang for your buck.
The Ryanair Chase is one of the main events on day three of the festival, aka Thursday 16th of March, and the lads have been looking at the markets to hopefully find you a winner as we pass the half-way mark.
There’s a couple of heavyweight contenders at the top of the betting with dual winner Allaho courting plenty of attention from Paddy’s punters despite the long absence but Shishkin will also be looking to bounce back to form and should run at Ascot on Saturday.
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How ready will Allaho be for the Ryanair?@helynsar and Ruby Walsh draw comparisons with Vautour👇
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Ruby Walsh Ryanair picks
Allaho seems well at home, he’s doing plenty of work, it’s all systems go and he seems bang on track for the Ryanair Chase. It will be a different prep for him this year as he’s been off so long. Does that mean he’ll be as good? I don’t know.
He definitely seemed to improve with each run in the past – even if you look at him last year, he started at Punchestown, he improved from there to the Kinloch Brae and he improved again in the Ryanair Chase. So it’s hard to know what Allaho you’ll get first time up.
Will I be against him? Most definitely not, but making his seasonal debut as a nine-year-old does present question marks.
He was quite close to running earlier this season before he had a hold-up. Previously, you’d be hoping that with a normal pre-season, before any interruption, there’d still be enough in the tank to see him through. He’ll have the mileage in, as in all the work you can do at home, but he hasn’t run since winning at Punchestown last April.
But it’s just a question of coping without having had a race. That extra effort of a race brings a horse forward and you cannot replicate that at home. That’s what he’s missing now.
Does Shishkin want the step up in trip? Well, Chacun Pour Soi is the classic example, stepping up in trip at Thurles for the Kinloch Brae, but it didn’t work out for him. I always thought Shishkin looked like a horse that wanted further than two miles. You never watched him in a two-mile race thinking ‘wow, he’s running away,’ he’d always look like the one who’s coming home and staying on. I always thought that he looked like one that wanted a bit further than two miles in his races.
Will Blue Lord show up? I don’t know. That wasn’t his true performance at the weekend for whatever reason. He didn’t travel at the Dublin Racing Festival like he did at Christmas. Maybe Gentleman De Mee improved and was going a mile an hour quicker than he did at Christmas?
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Verdict: How can you go against Allaho?
But when Paddy Power are going non runner money back there are options. I don’t believe there’s a 100 per cent commitment to the Cheltenham Gold Cup for Conflated. His trainer Gordon Elliot says he’s going for the Gold Cup, Eddie O’Leary has said nothing and Michael O’Leary hasn’t ruled out the Ryanair Chase.
At the prices, with the non runner money back concession, Conflated will be a long shorter in the market on the day if he takes the Ryanair route. He was challenging for second and would probably have secured the runner-up spot behind Allaho last year if he didn’t fall at the second last.
It’s only an option in the non runner money back market that I’ve suggested it. I wouldn’t take a bigger price in the ante-post market where you’d lose your stake if connections do commit to a crack at the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
Ruby’s Ryanair Tip non runner money back
Allaho to win
Conflated – non runner no bet
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