Horse Racing Tips: Through the Sunday Kempton card with Timeform

Smart punts from some clever folk.

Kempton-Park

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

12:00 Twilight Revenge

Not a strong maiden by any means, and the newcomers don’t make much appeal on paper, so it may pay to side with TWILIGHT REVENGE, who may have been sent off the maximum price on the exchange starting out on debut here last month, but he shaped with a fair amount of promise. He’s entitled to come on for that experience and can prove too strong for Doolil, who is sure to be on the premises, with Bare Necessity looking best of the newcomers on paper.

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12:30 Cape Columbus

Another weak-looking event on paper and CAPE COLUMBUS sets a clear standard. He has had a few chances, but ran his best race to date when runner-up at Chelmsford earlier this month, and first-time cheekpieces may eke out a bit more. Ex Gratia is an interesting newcomer and may emerge as the biggest threat ahead of Old Port, who showed promise at Chelmsford on debut.

13:00 Independent Act

INDEPENDENT ACT was surprisingly weak in the betting, but overcame greenness to make a winning start at Lingfield last month, and the runner-up has franked the form since. There should be plenty of improvement in him now, so he’s fancied to defy a penalty despite the presence of a several well-bred rivals from top yards. Nova Legend achieved a fairly useful level of form when fourth at Newcastle last time, so he’s a danger, while Bateau Bay looks the pick of the newcomers.

13:30 Pretty Sweet

This looks to be a good piece of placing by connections of PRETTY SWEET, who is yet to finish out of the first three in her career, and her presence forces four of her rivals out of the weights. She remains with just one win to her name, but can gain reward for her consistency with a win here. Cherokee Dance (engaged Wolverhampton Saturday) and Crown Power are the obvious threats.

14:00 Follow Your Heart

FOLLOW YOUR HEART hasn’t been with this yard long but he’s firmly on the upgrade now, scoring with a fair bit in hand over this course and distance on Wednesday, and he’s taken to defy a penalty provided this run doesn’t come too soon. Mudlahhim shaped as if needing the run here 11 days ago and rates a big threat back down in class, while Flatley also needs considering having only just failed on his AW bow at Wolverhampton.

Kempton RacesApr18

14:30 Inevitable Outcome

There are a host in with a chance here, but INEVITABLE OUTCOME is a solid all-weather performer who resumed winning ways at Wolverhampton last time, so David Loughnane’s charge gets the verdict to follow up under Lauren Pearson who has been on board for her last two victories. Enduring could provide the main threat with the cheekpieces he wore earlier this month quickly discarded, ahead of three-time course and distance winner Tyger Bay.

15:00 Homeric

HOMERIC is related to a couple of smart operators – notably the very smart US winner Max Player – and was unlucky not to finish closer when a staying-on third at Wolverhampton on his debut earlier in the month. Horses from this yard can often take a big step forward from their first run so he’s fancied to overcome a wide draw and open his account. There are a number of interesting newcomers who could spoil the party, though, the most notable being Julia Augusta and Secret Service.

15:30 Red Bravo

RED BRAVO is unproven stamina-wise at this trip, but he’s dropped to a handy mark on the pick of his form for Mark Loughnane now setting out for a new stable, so could be the way to go in a wide-open handicap. Laurenta, Trepidation and Charming Paradise are just a trio of potential threats.

Sunday Kempton tips

12:00 Twilight Revenge
12:30 Cape Columbus
13:00 Independent Act
13:30 Pretty Sweet
14:30 Inevitable Outcome
15:00 Homeric
15:30 Red Bravo

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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