Duke Of Condicote was a decent, staying, handicapper on the Flat for Alan King and looks like the type that could make up into a useful juvenile hurdler this season. He managed to dead heat on his handicap debut at Haydock off a mark of 72 and Bahrani Star, who he dead heated with, finished fourth in the Group 2 Ribblesdale on her next start. Back in fifth that day was Soldier On Parade who has won three juvenile hurdles this season already.
Duke Of Condicote didn’t win on his next three starts but he did shape well when second in two of those and he was fifth in a Class 2 in between. He is currently rated 79 on the flat and I’d be pretty sure that he is capable of winning off that mark. Provided his jumping is up to scratch, he could prove difficult to beat.
Lucky’s Dream has won seven of his 23 starts on the Flat and is currently rated 77 on turf and now makes his handicap debut over hurdles off what could prove to be a very lenient opening mark of just 99. He had three starts over hurdles in the first half of 2019 and hasn’t been over jumps since and while he has disappointed on his last two starts on the flat, he did win three times on the all-weather in the first half of this year.
If he can translate any of that ability to hurdles, he should go well here and Paddy is offering 4 places for those who want to play each way.
Gustavian makes plenty of appeal on his handicap debut for the red-hot Anthony Honeyball stable. Honeyball is operating at an incredible 47 per cent strike rate for the past two weeks and Gustavian has shown more than enough to suggest that an opening mark of 120 could be more than fair.
Second on his bumper debut at Chepstow, he gave the winner too much rope that day but was closing him down at the finish to be beaten four lengths and that winner has won two hurdles races since and is rated 137. In his second bumper, Gustavian was beaten by Mario De Pail who is now rated 133 over hurdles, with the 136 rated Getaround back in third.
Gustavian got off the mark at the first time of asking over hurdles at Exeter in what was admittedly a weak race, but he did win very easily and the second and third are now rated 109 & 113 respectively.
Gustavian was last seen finishing second of four at Uttoxeter over 2m 4f, but the winner is rated 128 and was receiving 6lbs and the third is rated 119. He probably needs to learn to relax in his races a little better but if he can, he could prove much better than an opening mark of 120.
The stable couldn’t be in better form.
Frow could prove difficult to beat as he goes in search of a five-timer here, but he has a 5lb penalty for his last win at Wolverhampton but also loses very useful 5lb claimer Ray Dawson, so he might be worth opposing at the prices.
I will take a chance on Dame Joan for Ed Walker who makes her handicap debut off an eight-month break but she did have three quick runs to attain her opening mark and she could be well treated off an opening mark of 61.
She is a half sister to Group 2 winner Aljamaaheer and her last start, when fourth at Wolverhampton would suggest she could be on a nice mark. She finished behind three horses that are now rated 75, 74 & 73 but the horses behind her have decent form in the interim. The fifth has won since and he is rated 81, the 7th won two races and is rated 70 and the 8th won twice since and is rated 85.
The Ed Walker yard are in form and the booking of Tom Marquand is another positive. She looks the each-way play against the favourite.
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