A couple of these have already shown enough to suggest they will win races. Nastasiya looked a real stayer when third on her Haydock debut so could relish these conditions, while Oasis Cove improved plenty from her debut when third at Newmarket this month, but there are some nicely bred newcomers up against that pair and the pick of them could be John Gosden’s DELTA BAY who hails from a successful family. The stable has a good record in this race having won a division of it with a newcomer in 2017 and a once-raced filly in 2018 (race wasn’t run last year).
This testing surface shouldn’t be an issue for Caribou after his win on heavy ground at Goodwood last time, but this looks a stiffer task on his nursery debut. The drop in trip may be to the advantage of the unexposed MAHAAMEL who doesn’t look on a bad mark for this nursery debut. He is taken to come out on top.
Setarhe has the best form but she’s fairly exposed now and faces some promising types, notably the well-bred LOVE IS YOU who should build on her Ascot win. Second choice is Little Kitten who, like the selection, made a successful debut last month. Little Rollright and Gift List are also likely to go well.
Top rated Laneqash should take some beating if he handles the ground but EXISTENT, who was impressive on heavy going last time, is an interesting alternative at bigger odds. Autumn Twilight, Champagne Piaff and Mujbar are unexposed types among the soft-ground winners, while Roscioli also has possibilities in what could prove an open race if Laneqash fails to shine.
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Alounak’s second in the Hardwicke at Royal Ascot is this season’s standout form but, although still a contender, his last three runs take the gloss off his chance. With Raymond Tusk unraced since January, the most likely to be seriously involved is probably Euchen Glen but he has a penalty and others are progressing. That includes AWAY HE GOES, who encountered high-class rivals on his only tilt at a Group race, and Natural History who’s 2-2 this autumn in handicaps. It looks an open race.
Surrey Pride should still prove capable of better at some point but it might have been the soft ground, as well as 1m4f, which prevented him from getting competitive in a very hot race last time out, which leaves something to prove on heavy as well. Snow Ocean might settle a bit better in this field and must be on the shortlist, along with Cambridgeshire favourite Tempus and York second Aasheq. However, a chance is taken that LUNAR JET can follow up his Nottingham win. He took time finding his feet this season but is well handicapped on 2019 form and has twice won over C&D. Tempus is feared most.
Following his narrow defeat under Simon Walker at Windsor on Monday, Azor Ahai is entitled to plenty of respect, while the unexposed Enhanced can be given a chance down in class. However, preference is for PERCY PROSECCO (nap) with whom Brodie Hampson gets on so well while recent efforts suggest he is running back into form. The veteran Dance King has also been running well enough lately to suggest he could figure.
The Racing Post’s tips at Newbury on Saturday
All odds correct at time of publication and they’re always spot on with out betting widgets
Essential Reading for Saturday’s Racing
- Mick Fitzgerald’s Cheltenham picks for ITV Racing on Saturday
- Matt Chapman’s 9 sublime punts for Saturday’s ITV races
- Jason Weaver’s 5 to thrive for ITV Racing on Saturday
- A sparkling 4 to score at Leopardstown on Saturday
- A 13/2 shot tops Saturday’s best bets at Cheltenham