Lady Hayes won well at Salisbury and has to be respected but a chance is taken on NEW DAY, whose first-season sire has a great record with second-time-out runners.
Turandot can improve on her placed effort at Thirsk, but the biggest danger could come from newcomer Myristica – whose half-brother Lampang scored at the first time of asking for these connections.
Several to consider but DUBAI HONOUR stayed on well for a close second over 7.5 furlongs at tight Chester on his second start and today’s extra emphasis on stamina can help him go one better.
Military Mission was a promising second on his recent debut at Sandown and is feared most, ahead of Oman and Saligo Bay who are also likeable prospects.
Three-year-olds have won six of the last eight runnings despite providing just 25% of the runners in that time (19 of the 76).
The unexposed Danyah holds obvious claims, provided conditions suit (all turf starts have been on slow ground), having been an unlucky third at Ripon last time.
However, preference is for the other three-year-old MILLTOWN STAR who stayed on really well for sixth over 7 furlongs at Doncaster most recently and is now back up to 1m. Alternative Fact could be the best of the older horses.
Paul Midgley does tremendously well with sprinting recruits from other stables and MID WINSTER (NAP) scored on her second start for the yard at Ayr recently. She remains well handicapped on her best Irish form and there should be more to come for her new trainer.
Dark Shot has staged a revival of late and is feared most, while Glory Fighter can be in the mix if breaking on terms.
Count D’Orsay and Came From The Dark finished first and second over course and distance (soft) three weeks ago and can go well once more if getting their preferred slow ground.
The three-year-old PUNCHBOWL FLYER has shown improved form in these blinkers the last twice and was a very close fourth in a big-field handicap at Ascot most recently.
He gets the verdict ahead of the well-handicapped Music Society, who ran an encouraging race at Ripon early this month.
Commanche Falls is going the right way and can have a big say if conditions suit (unproven on good/faster).
The Gary Moore-trained GOSHEN would have bolted up in the Triumph Hurdle in March but for unseating at the final flight and he could prove to be way better than his current Flat mark.
He also showed significant promise when last seen in this code. The in-form On To Victory looks best of the rest.
This is a warm handicap, with five of the 11 bidding to follow up wins on their most recent starts.
Mr Carpenter is on a roll and won with more in hand than the result suggests at York but the least exposed in the line-up is perhaps DOUBLING DICE, and he’s taken to add to his runaway Hamilton success.
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