Jason Weaver: Paddy’s being too generous with this 16/1 Irish raider

The Weaver has his eye on an overpriced runner in the 3.40 at York on Saturday

Mustajeer

Comments

York 13:50

In both of Zaaki’s wins this season he has hit a flat spot and got going late over the mile so the drop down to 7 furlongs last time was against him.

Up in distance in this one will definitely suit and over this trip he should possess a potent change of gear.

He is nowhere near his ceiling at the moment and group 3 company is well within his grasp.

Goodwood 14:05

Happy Power has improved with each and every run and his Sussex effort was very solid indeed, despite him being short of room around about eight furlongs from home.

His form ties in with Skardu and that runner being much shorter in the market makes no sense whatsoever. It’s all down to jockeyship and we are going with the season’s leading rider, Oisin Murphy, to land the spoils.

Happy Power

York 14:25

Almania was a one-time Derby prospect for this classy outfit but now his sights have been lowered somewhat.

Not given a great ride last time at Goodwood he was far out of his ground and did well to be beaten just over three lengths.

Stepping up in trip with Silvestre De Sousa in the saddle, he still remains with a serious amount of potential.

Goodwood 14:40

Alpinista looked really good on racecourse debut when bolting up at Epsom with a jockey known for a lot of moving parts hardly having to flail an elbow.

Not the usual route for this trainer to throw a filly into group company on only her second start – we should take the hint that she is highly rated in the pecking order. Pedigree-wise, she is from a long line of very talented runners.

York 15:00

After Eqtidaar’s Commonwealth victory last season, it looked as if the sprinting division was there for the taking, but things didn’t pan out as expected.

They’ve obviously found a problem as he returns having his first try after a wind operation – added to that he remains a full horse and they have kept him in training, so his expert handler still thinks there’s a chance up at the highest level.

He can get back on track here.

York 15:40

Mustajeer ran an absolute cracker when short of room at a vital stage in this contest last year and in very similar conditions.

This looks to have been the long-term plan for his incredibly shrewd outfit. He was given a perfect prep last time without being knocked around and looks to be coming here primed for a massive effort in the £1 million contest.

The Irish raider has an awful lot going for him: trip, track, trainer and jockey – so why is Paddy being so generous? At 16/1 he looks sure to hit the board.

Prices correct at time of posting. Subject to change.

Find a full range of betting from Goodwood and York over on paddypower.com

What do you think?