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13.45, Kempton – Global Giant
GLOBAL GIANT has three starts on the all-weather, bagging two good wins and a second in a Dundalk Group 3 behind Mootsadir – who was almost unbeatable on the all-weather. He improved for switching to the Gosdens from Ed Dunlop, winning a Newbury listed race and finishing second in the Bahrain International Trophy. He is rated 113 and while Stormy Antarctic is rated 110, there are question marks about the 10f trip and the all-weather surface. Sky Defender and Faylaq are both rated only 105, so you would be disappointed if he doesn’t win.
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14.00, Doncaster – Juan Elcano
There is always a bit of guesswork at this time of the year, trying to work out which stables are in form, but the one I’ve come down on is JUAN ELCANO for Kevin Ryan. He was a very useful two-year-old, beating Subjectivist on debut and finishing a close second in the Group 2 Superlative Stakes and Group 2 Champagne Stakes.
He was only beaten 4l in last year’s 2,000 Guineas when fifth, and stepped up to 10f for his next two starts. He was fourth in the Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot when only 7/2, but didn’t really seem to get home that day. He definitely didn’t get 1½m in the Voltigeur at York, but the Kevin Ryan yard are in decent form at the moment and Juan Elcano has been gelded since last season. The drop back down to 1m will suit and Andrea Atzeni on board is always a positive around Doncaster too.
14.35, Doncaster – Global Esteem (5 places)
Four-year-olds make up a fair chunk of the field and they have won nine of the last 10 renewals. In 2019, seven of the 16 were four-year-olds but they supplied the first three home. In 2018, 10 of the 20 were four-year-olds but again supplied the first three home In 2017, six of the 21 were four-year-olds and supplied the first and third. Now, 10 of the 22 here are four-year-olds.
The one I am giving a chance to is GLOBAL ESTEEM for Chris Dwyer; the trainer is 5-17 this season so far. Global Esteem was trained by Gay Kelleway last season and his only win was over 1m at Yarmouth on soft ground off a mark of 76 where he won quite well. He did disappoint in three runs after that but caught my eye on his debut for Dwyer over an inadequate 6f at Chelmsford at the beginning of March. He was drawn wide and was trapped wide and was free. He just didn’t have the tow when the pace lifted a couple of furlongs out but he ran on nicely and it looked a lovely prep run. He is only 2lbs higher than his win and there is pace here, which will suit him.
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15.10, Doncaster – King Ottokar (5 places)
Dashing Oscar, Johan, Grove Ferry, Ouzo, Hortzadar and Ascension all like to be prominent, so this could be very strongly run and could suit those that are held up. Brentford Hope is a big danger as he won his last start in October off 91 without coming off the bridle, but the worry would be that his best performances have come on proper testing ground.
KING OTTOKAR would probably appreciate slower ground also, but he was unlucky here at the Leger meeting off a mark of 102 when not getting a clear run and he finished fifth. He was drawn out of things in the Balmoral when beaten 5½l in sixth despite again not getting a clear run. He was drawn 22 and the first five home were drawn 4,7,2,10,5. He’s been dropped 1lb, the blinkers go on and he is unexposed, having only had 11 starts despite not being 5. Strong pace would be right up his street and I could see him going close if getting clear run.
However, if it doesn’t rain then I reckon he could be a non-runner so the one I would give a shout to would be MAN OF THE NIGHT for Richard Hannon. He hasn’t won since his debut at Newbury as a two-year-old, but he was second to Tritonic at Newbury last year and ran really well at Newmarket in a handicap over 10f. He is one that the ground won’t inconvenience and I think at some stage this year he will prove better than a mark of 97.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while in-copy odds are accurate at the time of publication but subject to change
Frank Hickey’s bet summary – Saturday, March 27
13.45, Kempton – Global Giant
14.00, Doncaster – Juan Elcano
14.35, Doncaster – Global Esteem (5 places)
15.10, Doncaster – King Ottokar/Man Of The Night (5 places)
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