Betting on the Premier League is underway for another season and here at Paddy Power we’re always looking to help match punters to their best bets! From Power Prices to live odds, huge accas and player specials, we’ve got it all in the Paddy Power sportsbook.
But where to get started? If you’re looking to bet on the Premier League and want some direction then check out the best markets for the 2023/24 season below.
You’ll learn about Premier League winner betting, wagering on relegation, and see how the odds change when Erling Haaland is pulled from the market!
Premier League Winner Betting
Let’s start with a simple one. Betting on the Premier League winner has proved lucrative for punters over the last few seasons. Manchester City have won the title in five of the last six years, and were pushed all the way by Liverpool in the season they failed to top the league.
Heading into the season, City are 8/11 favourites to win the Premier League in the football betting odds, ahead of Arsenal at 5/1 and Liverpool at 6/1. The Premier League odds suggest City have a 57.9% chance of winning the title again – and it doesn’t hurt that they spent £79m on Josko Gvardiol and £25m on Mateo Kovacic over the summer.
Betting Without Man City
City won the treble last season and their presence has a draining effect on the football betting markets. So, Paddy is offering a Premier League title bet without Manchester City. Effectively you can wager on who will finish top or second if City do win it, with an each way bet paying the top two places.
Arsenal are the 11/5 favourites to win this market, with Liverpool closely behind on 11/4. Way out as third favourites are Manchester United at 4/1, a wide price that suggests the 2023/24 Premier League will be a shootout between City, Arsenal and Liverpool.
Premier League Golden Boot Betting
Premier League Golden Boot betting is, of course, pointing directly at Erling Haaland. The Norwegian scored 36 EPL goals last season, and broke 20 goals in just 14 games. Haaland scored four Premier League hat-tricks last season and is the obvious frontrunner to win the Golden Boot.
What’s more, Harry Kane’s move to Bayern Munich means there are few other contenders for the Golden Boot.
Top Scorer Without Haaland
If we take Haaland out of the equation then suddenly this market looks a lot more interesting. Mohamed Salah is the obvious choice after previously winning this award at Liverpool, although last season proved difficult for the Egyptian. Perhaps, then, his teammate Darwin Nunez will come good and rival Haaland for the Golden Boot. Other contenders are Marcus Rashford and Heung-min Son, while new Manchester United striker Rasmus Hojlund cannot be ruled out just yet. This is a very difficult market to bet on.
Most Assists Betting
If you’re betting on top assist maker in the Premier League this season then it’s likely that you’ll gravitate towards a City player. After all, the likes of Kevin De Bruyne and Jack Grealish have Haaland to finish off their cutting moves. De Bruyne is the favourite in the Premier League odds at 11/4 after providing 16 goals last term. That’s four fewer than his joint record held with Thierry Henry of 20.
Liverpool’s Trent Alexander-Arnold is second favourite at 6/1, with Bruno Fernandes of Manchester United at 9/1. The success of both players will likely fall on how deadly their teammates are in front of goal. All eyes on Darwin and Hojlund then!
A potentially smart outside bet for top assist maker is Bukayo Saka at 11/1. The Arsenal man got 11 last season and is expected to have another stellar year.
Top 4 Betting Odds
Betting on the top four used to be easy when Manchester United, Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea competed for the Champions League spots each season. Then along came Tottenham and Manchester City, and now Newcastle are in the mix. This is now a really difficult market. City are 1/25 to finish in the top four, which is evidently going to happen. But Paddy Power’s latest odds point to Chelsea, Newcastle and Spurs missing out. Don’t be surprised if Chelsea improve this season under Mauricio Pochettino. At 5/4 they are perhaps the best bet here.
Another smart option is to take advantage of the Paddy Power accumulator and throw Chelsea in with Arsenal, City and Liverpool to finish in the top four. This will boost your odds, even if it also increases the risk.
EPL Relegation Betting
There is a very real possibility that Luton Town go straight back down this season after somehow climbing up to the top flight for the first time in three decades. Luton don’t have to spend power to compete with even their relegation rivals, and will hope team spirit pulls them through.
At 4/11 Luton look likely to be relegated, alongside Sheffield United at 4/6. Both clubs unexpectedly secured promotion and their squads look light for the Premier League.
Burnley, however, are only the eighth favourites to be relegated on the eve of the new campaign, thanks to Vincent Kompany’s excellent management of the Clarets. The likes of Nottingham Forest, Everton and England’s new crisis club Wolves are more likely to go down, according to the odds.
Premier League Live Betting Tips
Here are some quick football tips to get you started when you’re live betting on the Premier League:
- Goals – There’s an average 2.85 goals scored per game in the Premier League. So you can take a +2.5 goals mark as your benchmark for the season.
- Corners – Premier League games feature 10.27 corners. To be safe, bank on teams earning +7.5 corners. Here’s a guide to corners betting.
- Yellows – There’s an average 3.24 yellow cards in a Premier League game, which is surprisingly low. Bookings are worth betting on in one-sided games.
- HT score betting – Did you know the most common half-time score in the Premier League is 1-0 to the home team? Well, you do now. It’s a strong best especially when the hosts are favourites.
- Goal periods – More goals are scored in the second half of football games than the first. But were you aware that 16.8% of goals are scored between the 81st and 90th minutes? That’s more than any over 10-minute period in the game. It’s always worth considering betting on a late goal, even if the game is effectively over by then.
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