Donegal under 21.5 points – 11/10
Donegal scored two goals in all four of their Ulster championship encounters and racked up some huge scores on the way to winning the provincial title, but that trend might not continue at Dr Hyde Park – which is notorious for hosting low-scoring encounters.
Galway scored 0-16 in the Connacht final against Roscommon and it was enough to register a four-point win, something like that could be the winning score on Saturday.
Although The Rossies are renowned for their gung-ho attacking approach, do not expect them to be so naive against Donegal having coughed up 4-24 against Tyrone last Saturday.
Expect Kevin McStay to tweak a few things and make the opposition worked much harder for their. With that in mind, under 21.5 Donegal points looks a great bet.
Racing Post pick: Donegal under 21.5 points
Second half to be highest scoring half – 5/6
Con O’Callaghan’s early goal was the catalyst for a wide-margin Dublin victory in last year’s All-Ireland semi-final, but expect Mickey Harte to have learnt from his mistakes during that drubbing.
Tyrone could be very cagey in the first half of this eagerly-awaited Super 8s showdown as you simply cannot afford to be chasing the game against the Dubs as Donegal found out last weekend.
It would come as little surprise to see The Red Hands give up the kick-outs and let Stephen Cluxton flick the ball to his corner-back. That would allow his side to set-up defensively and make them harder to break down.
It might not be until midway through the second-half that this game opens up ,so get on the second half to be the highest scoring half at 5/6 with Paddy Power.
Racing Post pick: Second half to be highest scoring half
Kerry (-3) – 11/10
A wet and dreary day ensured that conditions were extremely slippery at Croke Park last Sunday and that contributed to an inept Kerry performance, arguably the worst one we have seen from the Kingdom in the last five years.
Eamon Fitzmaurice’s charges deserve the benefit of the doubt though, and they are fancied to account for an ageing Monaghan side – who are playing for the fifth week on the trot. That hectic schedule might just catch up on them at Clones.
The Kingdom could call upon some of their experienced campaigners, like Kieran Donaghy, in what is a ‘must win’ encounter and the simple fact of the matter is that right now Kerry are a better side than Malachy O’Rourke’s men.
Kerry remain All-Ireland contenders, Monaghan are not. Get on Kerry to defy a three-point handicap.
Racing Post pick: Kerry (-3)
* All odds correct at time of posting.