Football Tips: Arsenal to cut down Nott’m Forest in 22/1 Bet Builder

Our football tipster Andrew Beasley picks his five fancies for Saturday evening's clash between Forest and Arsenal

Nottingham Forest v Arsenal Bet Builder Tips

Arsenal to win
Bukayo Saka to Score
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 5.5 Arsenal Corners
Over 3.5 Cards

A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 22/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

Saturday, 5:30pm: Arsenal v Brighton
Premier League
TV: Sky Sports Main Event

This game should have been massive for Arsenal. Six weeks ago they were five points clear at the top of the league and 2-0 up at Liverpool. They might have been heading to the City Ground with an opportunity to seal the league title.

As it is, they only won two of their next seven games, taking just nine points, which puts them firmly mid-table for this period. We shouldn’t place their collapse firmly on Granit Xhaka squaring up to Trent Alexander-Arnold at Anfield, but it’s a cheap win for pundits so we may as well do likewise.

It makes this a much bigger game for Nottingham Forest. The worst away side in the Premier League, this is their final home match of the campaign. If Everton win at Wolves earlier on Saturday, then Forest will be fourth bottom come kick-off. No pressure, lads.

Match odds: Arsenal

As much as the Gunners won’t win the league, they won’t forgive themselves if Manchester City do somehow utterly collapse and they are unable to take advantage. By playing first this weekend, they can at least apply a hint of pressure to the champions elect with a win here.

Their record this season – not least beating Forest 5-0 earlier in the campaign – suggests they’ll get three points. While they suffered a surprise defeat at strugglers Everton, Arsenal have won 11 and drawn two of their other 13 away games against teams currently sixth or below in the table.

Steve Cooper’s mob will obviously be giving it everything they’ve got for a victory here. They can look back to their home wins over Liverpool and Brighton and draw with City for inspiration. However, those teams missed four, three and five big chances respectively, so could all potentially have won relatively easily.

Add in that Forest have been the second worst team in the division for conceding set piece goals and Arsenal the best on the road for scoring them, and this should be an away win.

Anytime Goalscorer: Bukayo Saka

Don’t be surprised if Bukayo Saka scores one of the goals here (though maybe not from a set play as he often takes them). He has only netted once from chances collectively valued at 2.2 expected goals in his last nine league appearances, so is definitely due to score sooner or later.

With Forest having given away the most penalties in the 2022/23 Premier League and Saka often Arsenal’s spot kick taker, this could help our selection for him to score at any time too.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals: Over

Saka won’t be the only goal scorer, this should be an entertaining game for a Saturday night. City’s games might have seen the most goals in total this season but it’s Arsenal who have seen the most featuring at least four goals.

Forest are sixth in those standings so this should be nicely frantic and chaotic. Expect over 3.5 goals here, folks.

Away Total Corners 5.5: Over

I know what you’re thinking, and you’re correct: the City Ground has seen the fewest corners of any stadium in the top flight this season. That’s mainly down to Forest having relatively few, though, and Arsenal should get plenty here.

The other visiting sides from the top six have all had at least seven and an average of 8.8 corners. There’s no reason to think that Arsenal won’t have over 5.5 in that case.

Cards Over/Under 3.5: Over

The previous meeting of these teams passed off relatively sedately with just one yellow card shown. As this will be more fiercely contested, it’s reasonable to expect a few more.

No team in the division has had more home games pay out on over 3.5 cards than Forest have, while 8 of Arsenal’s 14 such matches have occurred away from the Emirates.

Referee Anthony Taylor is a little under the 3.5 mark on average across his career but is also having his second card-heaviest campaign in the Premier League. You’re never more than 10 feet away from a Mancunian ref and this one can round off our Bet Builder by showing at least four cards.

Nottingham Forest v Arsenal Betting Tips

Arsenal to win
Bukayo Saka to Score
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 5.5 Arsenal Corners
Over 3.5 Cards

A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 22/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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