Football Accumulator tips: Paddy’s Tuesday night mega 39/1 five fold

Our footie tipster Paddy Murphy has studied the form so you don't have to.

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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

We have a huge night of football on Tuesday night, we’ll be looking at the best of what’s on offer from the Premier League, the FA Cup, the Championship and, of course, the Milan derby. There’s loads of value to be had here, so let’s get stuck in.

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19.30: Crystal Palace v Stoke – Both Teams to Score

BBC Red Button/BBC iPlayer

The Premier League side come into this one as fairly short-odds favourites to advance to the next round but it must be said that neither of the pair are in high-flying form. Palace have won just one of their last five games, drawing three and losing one. Stoke have also won one, drawn two and lost two. At Selhurst Park the Eagles are in worse shape, having won one, drawn one and lost three over their last five but they’re at least scoring goals, with six to their name over those five and eight conceded.

The Potters on their travels have also won one, drawn two and lost two, scoring six and conceding six. Recent fixtures between the two have seen BTTS landing in four of the last five games at both grounds and with both scoring and conceding plenty of late in their respective home/away games that’s where the value lies in this one.

19.45: Burnley v Leicester – Under 2.5 Goals

Burnley’s recent form is improving and should it persist at home here they can get themselves out of the relegation zone for the first time in quite a while. The Clarets have only lost one of their last five, winning two and drawing two but their home form isn’t quite so good with one win, two draws and two losses in all competitions. They’ve scored six over their last five home/away games, conceding just three while at Turf Moor have scored just three and conceded four.

Leicester’s form isn’t great either it must be said, they’ve won two of their last five in all competitions, drawing one and losing two while on their away trips in all competitions have won just one of their last five, losing all four of the other, scoring eight and conceding 15. Five of the last eight meetings between the pair have ended with Under 2.5 goals and with Burnley’s defence looking solid again the best pick here is Unders.

19.45: Cardiff v Derby – Cardiff to Win

Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports Football

Cardiff are skirting close to the Championship relegation zone at first glance but they have a 13 point cushion above Barnsley in 22nd. Just below them in 23rd, Derby are on 21 points and were it not for their deduction of 21 points they’d be around 16th on 42 points. The Rams are running out of games now and their form of two wins and three losses is against them as they really need to be in top form to survive.

The hosts are in strong shape at home, winning three of their last five, drawing one and losing one while the visitors have only won one of their last seven on their travels in the Championship and have lost all five of their most recent away league games. With those stats you have to side with the Bluebirds here.

WayneRooneyDerbyNov21

19.55: Middlesbrough v Spurs – Both Teams to Score

BBC One

Since beating Manchester United on penalties at Old Trafford in the last round of the FA Cup Middlesbrough have won two, drawn one and lost two of their five fixtures, scoring 11 and conceding eight. At the Riverside they’ve been in mighty form, winning all seven of their most recent encounters. Spurs are, well, Spurs. When they’re good they’re good and when they’re not they really stink out the place.

They’ve only won two of their last five fixtures, losing the other three, scoring nine, failing to score in two of those five. Their away form is better though with three wins and two losses, scoring 10 and conceding seven. The hosts have nothing to fear here, other than Harry Kane and Son Heung-min of course but their home record and goal-scoring record should see them putting a dent in Spurs here at least. Spurs are short-odds favourites to advance to the next round but we wouldn’t be confident of picking them with their bad run of form matched against Boro’s strong home stats. Both are scoring and conceding though so the value here is in backing BTTS.

20.00: AC Milan v Inter Milan – Draw

Premier Sports 1

This fixture is always huge and over the last few seasons we’ve had the added benefit of them both being in the race for the Serie A title. As it currently stands, Napoli top the pile on 57 points with Milan just behind them on goal difference, six goals behind, and Inter in third position on 55, so Inter will go top should they take the three points, Milan need a draw to go ahead of Napoli.

Milan are in the better form of the pair, they’re unbeaten over their last six fixtures, winning three and drawing three while Inter have won one, drawn one and lost two over their five most recent matches. At home Milan have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five in the Serie A with Inter winning two and drawing three and Milan have won none of the last five meetings between the sides as the home team, drawing two and losing three. This one is going to be tense and only three of Milan’s last five at home have seen Overs with the same stat applying to away Inter games. With five draws over their last 10 combined Serie A games the value here is in backing the Draw.

Tuesday footy acca tips:

19.30: Crystal Palace v Stoke – Both Teams to Score
19.45: Burnley v Leicester – Under 2.5 Goals
19.45: Cardiff v Derby – Cardiff to Win
19.55: Middlesbrough v Spurs – Both Teams to Score
20.00: AC Milan v Inter Milan – Draw

*An acca with these best bets pays at approximately 31/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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