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For Monday night’s footballing action, we’re taking a look at what’s on offer from the German Bundesliga where relegation-threatened Hertha Berlin must win away to Mainz.
In Spain’s La Liga, Sevilla can leap into second place should they take the three points at home to Athletic Bilbao and we have two Premier League clashes where West Brom must beat Wolves to have any hope of Premier League survival and we also have West Ham away to Burnley. Let’s find some value in the markets.
Hertha are travelling away to Mainz at the worst possible moment, as the home side have been climbing up the table of late thanks to a run of seven matches without tasting defeat. Hertha’s overall form isn’t bad with two wins, two draws and one loss over their five most recent fixtures. However, on their league excursions they’ve not won any of their 10 most recent – a run of five losses and five draws.
Mainz’s home form is good too. They’ve won four of their last six on home turf, drawing and losing one apiece. They don’t have a great habit of keeping clean sheets though, of their 15 most recent home Bundesliga matches they only managed to keep two clean sheets.
Monday 17:00 – Mainz v Hertha Berlin
BT Sport 2
Hertha’s scoring has picked up of late and have been on the scoresheet in five of their last six overall Bundesliga matches, and in three of their five most previous away games. We should see a winner here too, Mainz’ recent record is nothing short of fantastic and Hertha are playing for their skins. We’re going with Both Teams to Score No Draw, as that’s where the value lies.
With nine points between them and safety West Brom looked doomed to relegation. Could this finally be the season that sees Big Sam suffer his first ever relegation? If anyone can clinch Premier League survival, it’s Sam Allardyce. But, should they lose here, it could well be curtains for the Baggies.
Their form has improved of late though, they’ve won two of their last five in the league, drawing one and losing two. Meanwhile, it’s slightly better at the Hawthorns with two wins, two draws and one loss.
Monday 18:00 – West Brom v Wolves
Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League
Wolves have won two of their last five in the Premier League, losing the other three. Their away record is better though, having won two, drawn two and lost one. Hard to see them not scoring here as they’ve scored four over their last five away matches and West Brom have conceded a total of eight over their last five overall matches.
At home their record is better, but West Brom can’t really afford to defend and try and nick a goal here, they simply have to win. Both Teams to Score is the way to go.
Sevilla can leapfrog Barcelona in third to go one point behind Real Madrid and three behind La Liga leaders Atletico Madrid should they take all three points here. They’re on a fantastic run of late having won seven of their last eight in La Liga, drawing the other one. At home they’ve won six of their last seven in the league and kept five clean sheets in the process.
Bilbao are chasing the last of the Europa League places for next season, but their league results of late haven’t been great with four draws and one win over their last five. Away from home they’ve drawn three, won one and lost one and only scored three times over those five games.
Monday 20:00 – Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao
Sevilla have kept four clean sheets against Bilbao over their five most recent league meetings here and that trend should continue. The odds on Sevilla to Win to Nil are too good to refuse here.
Burnley were rampant in their in their 0-4 away thrashing of Wolves last weekend. Bet you’ve never seen the words ‘rampant’ and ‘Burnley’ in the same sentence before. Strange times.
Anyway, they were mighty good, but their overall form has seen them winning just two of their last five in the Premier League, losing the other three. Their home form is very Burnley-esque, they’ve drawn four and lost one of their last five at Turf Moor.
Sunday 20:15 – Burnley v West Ham
Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League
West Ham seem to be stumbling just as Champions League football is within their grasp, they’ve lost both of their most recent league matches, but had won two and drawn one of their three prior games. Away from home, West Ham have won just one of their last five, drawing one and losing three. Four of Burnley’s five most recent Premier League matches at home have been level at half-time.
For West Ham on the road, three have been level at half-time. We could be in for a dour first half here but with the odds of a Half-Time Draw as they are, we can exploit both teams’ propensity for ending the first half level.
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