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Dynamo showed in the reverse fixture at the Nou Camp that they can be competitive at this level and their starting XI had been decimated by Covid-19 as well. At home they’ll be more confident of getting something as this Barcelona side isn’t anything like what it used to be. If you can halt their play and upset their plans you can get at them.
Barca have looked a little bit better of late though, even with losing 1-0 away to Atletico Madrid at the weekend. They’ve won three of their last five, drawing one and losing that one at the weekend. The Catalans showed too by beating Juventus 0-2 away from home last month that when it does click, they can beat anyone – it just doesn’t click as much as it used to. Something that obviously needs to change and quickly too.
Both Teams to Score should figure here, Dynamo have scored in 13 of their last 15 home matches and Barcelona are also rarely kept scoreless. We’re swinging with Barcelona here as they’ve been showing good signs of improvement over the last few weeks and that 0-2 win over Juventus really showed how good they can be when they want to. Kiev will make it a tough night, but Barca have the experience to take the three points to extend their lead at the top of Group G.
Obviously, Group G is going to play out as a battle between Barcelona and Juventus for the top spot, unless Dynamo can cause a massive upset in Kiev of course. The Old Lady are huge favourites here, but just looking at the BTTS odds, it’s full of value.
Juventus have conceded in four out of their last six Champions League matches at home and they’ve not been the best of teams either. Barcelona and Ajax, okay, you’re allowed those. But, both Lyon and Lokomotiv Moscow have also scored at the Allianz.
In facing Ferencvaros, they’re coming up against a side that have scored 13 goals over their CL matches this season. To put it another way, they’ve played eight CL matches this season and have scored in seven of them. Juve have kept just two clean sheets over their six most recent matches, while the Hungarians have scored at least one in 14 out of their last 15 matches. The current odds should be screaming value to you after reading those stats.
PSG have won just one of their three Champions League matches this season, yet they still come into this match as short-odds favourites. Leipzig have won two and lost one of theirs so far. PSG have won three of their last five, losing both of the others. Meanwhile, Leipzig have won two, drawn one and lost two.
Things are far better for the Parisians at home though, where they’ve won four out of their last five. On the flip side, Leipzig they’ve won just one of their last five on the road, drawing two and losing one. Both teams are in decent goal-scoring form though, and while the odds on BTTS aren’t in any way inviting, the value odds are in backing PSG to Win and BTTS.
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