Turkey have drawn their last five matches in a row and midweek put in a strong performance at home to Croatia, drawing the match 3-3. Worryingly for Russia they’ve drawn both of their most recent matches 0-0, at home to Hungary and away to Moldova, so pressure is mounting on the away side coming in this match. They are current leaders of Group 3 in League B, but they’ve only scored four goals over their four matches, conceding three in return. For their part, Turkey have only scored three and have conceded four.
The sides have met five times over the last four years, they’ve both won one each and three have ended in a draw. Meanwhile, only one match saw Over 2.5 goals occurring. With both teams not in the best of goal-scoring form and their record of draws, we reckon another stalemate is the best way to go here as there’s very little between the sides.
The market has Denmark as massive favourites here and, no doubt, the Icelanders are surely going to be still feeling a bit sorry for themselves after missing out on next summer’s Euros thanks to losing in injury time away to Hungary midweek. The sides have met 22 times over the years and Iceland are still yet to win a match, the record stands at 19 wins for Denmark and three draws.
Denmark are on a good run of late, winning four of their last five matches and drawing the other, and have only lost one of their last 10. Iceland have only won one of their last six, losing all five of the others. The Danes also have a good clean sheets record at home, as all six of their most recent home matches saw them keeping their opponents scoreless.
However, we have to note that three of those teams were Gibraltar, Luxembourg and the Faroe Islands. England also couldn’t get a goal, so no great achievement keeping those sides scoreless. Iceland have scored in five of their last seven on the road though, and the odds currently on offer for Both Teams to Score are certainly offering value with those stats in mind.
Italy have now gone 24 matches without defeat on Italian soil, but face a Polish team enjoying a good run of form of late. They’ve lost just one of their last 11 fixtures, and on the road have lost just two of their last 11 – winning seven and drawing two.
It’s not easy to pick a winner here as there’s really not much between both sides and on their day they can battle with the best of them. The market though is going with the home side, but Poland are a very tough side to beat and there’s more value in the Draw price. However, Italy are scoring and conceding plenty at home, while the Poles share similar stats on the road. We’re getting good odds on BTTS here, so that’s what we’re going with.
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