Premier League Fantasy: Play £1,000 contest FOR FREE on Wednesday

It's a mid-week Premier League round of fixtures and Paddy Power Fantasy has a £1,000 free game for you to enter

By / Fantasy, Football News / 4 years ago

There’s never been a better time to get to grips with daily Premier League fantasy football – just pick your team and forget about transfers, wildcards, and all that nonsense because it’s a new season every day.

And Paddy is giving you a chance to play FOR FREE in a £1,000 contest this week on Wednesday’s Premier League fixtures – what more could you want?

A guide to which players to pick, you say? No problem.

Here’s a breakdown of scoring points – goals are still huge, but a few more stats matter in daily fantasy over the season-long games, and now we’ll have quick look at the odds from PaddyPower.com on each of the games sow e can see which teams we should stock up on and who to steer clear of:

WEDNESDAY NIGHT’S FANTASY SLATE

Chelsea and Arsenal to feature heavily? Maybe so. Let’s have a deeper dive…

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

 

Forwards/Midfielders

This slate revolves around Arsenal and Chelsea. The Gunners (vs. Norwich) and Blues (at West Ham) have plum matchups, and they’re in the two matches that should see the most goals. Chelsea and Arsenal will both see plenty of ownership

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For the Gunners, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang could blow up against a Norwich defence that’s short-handed and has shipped 11 goals in its past six road fixtures. Auba has the shortest anytime goal odds from all four games, and he’ll be on penalties too. The negatives with him are that pretty much everyone will have him, and he hasn’t been utilized as a number-nine in either of the Gunners’ three EPL matches since the restart.

Still, he’s put five shots on target over the last two, so he’s more than capable of a multi-goal game against the Canaries.

If you fade Auba or want to stack an Arsenal attacker with him, look to Eddie Nketiah or Nicolas Pépé. Given that Nketiah is cheaper and has shorter goal odds, he’ll likely see more ownership than Pépé. But Nketiah paces Arsenal in expected goals plus assists per 90 minutes with a clip of 0.70, so he’s also a great pick and shouldn’t be as popular as Auba. I also like Alexandre Lacazette a lot if he gets into the starting lineup.

The Blues have been good since the restart, including a 2-1 win over Manchester City in their last league game. While West Ham have a ton to play for in their relegation battle, I’m surprised Chelsea aren’t shorter-odds to win this game.

Tammy Abraham has the best anytime goal odds in this match, but Olivier Giroud has started at striker in each of the Blues’ last two EPL matches back. Unfortunately, we won’t know the Blues’ lineup at the first lock with Chelsea in the late game.

Willian has been in dazzling form since the restart, totalling eight chances created and a goal. He took a penalty last match, though Jorginho, the normal penalty taker, wasn’t on the pitch. Christian Pulisic has a goal in each of the last two league matches, but he did exit early with a calf ailment in FA Cup action on Sunday, which could open the door for Pedro to start.

Outside of Arsenal and Chelsea, things are wide open as Bournemouth are the next biggest favourite.

Read More: 5 Pro-Tips for Playing Premier League Daily Fantasy

Be warned: this match is an ugly 7/5 to go over 2.5 goals. With that said, the Cherries desperately need a win in their fight to avoid the drop, and a home match versus the Magpies is a great opportunity. They’ll probably be without Callum Wilson (suspended) and Joshua King (injury), so they’ll offer some cheaper options, which we’ll need if we’re loading up on Chelsea’s and Arsenal’s studs. (If King is able to play, he’d be worth using.)

I’ll probably take a shot at one Cherries attacker. Dominic Solanke should start in a forward role while Harry Wilson and David Brooks have some appeal, too. Brooks has created four total chances in two games since the restart, and he’s been in good form considering those were his first games all season. We also should have Philip Billing on our radar as he’s expected to be fit.

Defenders

Norwich and West Ham are the places to look if you want defenders who will be busy.

The Canaries have just three defenders listed who haven’t been ruled out or banned, and one of them, Max Aarons, is questionable with a knock. Ben Godfrey and Jamal Lewis should have a lot to do at Arsenal. West Ham offer us cheap expected starters in Ryan Fredericks and Aaron Cresswell. Angelo Ogbonna would be a sweet value target if he starts, but we won’t know if that’s going to happen until the first three matches have already locked.

Lucas Digne has scored at least 18 PPF points in three of his last five games. His free-kick and corner responsibilities make him a unicorn among defenders on this slate, and the difficult matchup with Leicester should cap his ownership, thrusting him onto our radar.

Marcos Alonso is a decent stacking partner with any Chelsea’s attacker, and he will be able to get forward against West Ham. His anytime goal odds are really good for a defender, and he’s flashed elite upside this season with outings of 38.2, 32.5 and 53.3 PPF points.

Marcos-Alonso-Chelsea

Goalies

Emiliano Martinez and Kepa Arrizabalaga have the best win odds and are priced as such. Martinez has better clean-sheet odds by a small margin. The two most likely scorelines in the Arsenal match are the Gunners to win 1-0 and 2-0. Two of the four most likely scorelines in the Blues-Irons match involve a Chelsea clean sheet, but neither of them is a shorter price.

It makes sense to target a keeper – Martin Dubravka or Aaron Ramsdale – in the Bournemouth-Newcastle match as it’s expected to be the lowest-scoring fixture on the slate. Both teams to score is hovering around Evens. It’s tough to figure out which keeper to use, however. Bournemouth to win 1-0 is marginally favoured over the 0-0 draw at 6/1 or thereabouts, though I’d still lean Dubravka.

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What do you think?