Cricket Tips: This 11/4 flutter tops our India v Australia World Cup Final Best Bets

Can anybody stop India? We don't think so...

Cricket World Cup Final Betting Tips

India to Win
Virat Kohli To Be India’s Top Run Scorer
Adam Zampa To Be Australia’s Top Wicket-Taker
India To Have The Higher Score After 15
Fall Of The 1st Wicket In The 1st Innings Over 34.5 Runs

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

India to win

India have been dominated the tournament to this point. They have scored more runs (2,810) than any other side and their batters collectively average 58.54 – over 17 more runs than New Zealand’s squad (41.09). With the ball they have taken more wickets than any other side (95) and have bowled out their opposition eight times, leaving only five untaken wickets across the tournament. India have bulldozed their way through this home World Cup and expect them to cap off the perfect tournament in Ahmedabad. It has to be India To Win.

Virat Kohli To Be India’s Top run-scorer

Virat Kohli’s outstanding tournament feels like it will get its inevitable victorious ending. He tops the run scoring charts (711 runs) over 100 runs clear of Quinton de Kock in second, while averaging over 100. His false shot percentage is the third lowest in the tournament of batters to have faced over 50 balls (10.4%) and importantly Kohli has only been dismissed once when playing a false shot. Essentially, he never throws away his wicket.

Nobody has faced more balls per dismissal (112) than Kohli and he is timing his innings perfectly. When looking at his strike-rates in each 10 over block of the team’s innings, they ascend in perfect chronological order – this tournament he has batted at a rate of 75.45 in overs 1-10, rising steadily through each phase before reaching its peak of 113.69 in overs 41-50. Kohli is be best bet to be India’s top run-scorer.

Adam Zampa to be Australia’s Top wicket-taker

Adam Zampa has been the one of the standout spin bowlers at the tournament, taking 22 wickets at 21.40 – only Mohammad Shami has taken more. Part of his success is that he has made batsmen play at 86% of his deliveries, and his average turn of 2.06 degrees has made it mighty hard to get on top of him.

Zampa has taken 14 of his wickets in the middle overs (21-40) while averaging 15.29 and this period will be crucial as India look to build towards a late flourish. He’s well-placed to nullify the Indian batting threat so Zampa to be Australia’s top wicket taker looks handy.

India higher score after 15 overs

India and Australia have been the two most successful batting sides in the first 15 overs, scoring 972 and 940 runs respectively. However, Australia have lost 20 wickets in the phase, and India only 16 – nothing slows down a fast start better than wickets. Additionally, Australian bowlers have found less swing (0.76 degrees) in the first 15 overs than every other side in the tournament.

India, meanwhile, are third on this list with 1.04 degrees of swing. This difference has translated to wickets, with India taking 30 wickets in this phase, compared to Australia’s 18 (with four of those coming in the semi-final). Considering Australia’s struggles, and India’s proficiency with the new ball, I like India to have a higher score after 15 overs.

Fall of 1st wicket In The 1st innings – Over 34.5 Runs

These two sides are also inseparable on when they lose their first wicket. India average 60.30 for their opening partnership, while Australia are a shade higher on 60.50. While it may be difficult to pick who will score more, it is likely that whoever bats first will score above 34.5 runs.

Cricket World Cup Final Tips

India to Win
Virat Kohli To Be India’s Top Run Scorer
Adam Zampa To Be Australia’s Top Wicket-Taker
India To Have The Higher Score After 15
Fall Of The 1st Wicket In The 1st Innings Over 34.5 Runs

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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