Boxing Tips: Fury v Usyk betting preview including a 30/1 fancy

Our boxing tipster Matt Gipon has three picks for Saturday's showdown in Saudi Arabia.

Tyson Fury v Oleksandr Usyk

Tyson Fury v Oleksandr Usyk Betting Tips

Tyson Fury to Win on Points or Decision
Tyson Fury to be Knocked Down and Win
#WhatOddsPaddy: Tyson Fury to Win on Points & Both Fighters to be Knocked Down

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

Tyson Fury v Oleksandr Usyk
TV: Sky Sports Box Office & DAZN, Saturday, 10:30pm

This weekend sees the first undisputed heavyweight fight since 1999 and the first since four belts were widely recognised as legitimate world titles. Tyson Fury and Oleksandr Usyk are both unbeaten, incredibly skilled, and in peak condition, this match-up is monumental.

25 years ago Lennox Lewis beat Evander Holyfield in Las Vegas to be crowned the king of boxing, and on Saturday night Lennox will be handing over the belts to the winner in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

In the week leading up to the fight, Paddy is offering close to even money on either man to win, and the price on the draw keeps getting shorter. It’s a colossal fight, it’s a close call, and we’ve got the tips, Power Prices, and #WhatOddsPaddy to guide you through it.

Tyson Fury to Win on Points or Decision

The fight was originally set for December 23, but when Fury put in a rusty performance against MMA fighter Francis Ngannou in October they pushed the date back to mid-February, and then just two weeks before the new date, in apparently Fury’s final spar, he was badly cut over his right eye.

When you’ve been waiting 25 years, a delay of a few months doesn’t seem so bad, and if someone pulls out this time they are contracted to pay the other man a cool $10 million.

The delay seems to have benefitted Fury. The man from Morecambe, 35, looks like he’s in the best shape of his career, however, rumours are circling that he only managed a few weeks of sparring in April.

There have been no such injury concerns for Usyk, 37, but it’s worth noting that he would have started training camp at least six months ago. The Ukrainian is a vastly experienced operator but there’s a chance that he has already physically and mentally peaked.

Tactically we know that Usyk likes to take a look at his opponent for a couple of rounds and then apply front-foot pressure. He’s a master of range control and he has that Lomachenko-esque pivot around the opponent while staying in range.

We’ve seen Fury do different things, he was a back-foot mover in his early fights, and more recently he’s been attack-minded. The times the Brit has been really aggressive have been in rematches, like against Deontay Wilder, when he feels he has the measure of his opponent and front-foot fighting is the best way to win.

I think Fury will use his massive height and reach advantage to box long, and when Usyk closes the distance he’ll grab hold and make use of his weight. Anthony Joshua couldn’t make his size advantage count because he’s a mid-long range specialist, but Fury has those inside skills and he won’t mind making it rough.

I am not worried about Fury missing some sparring, he had a decent camp in preparation for the February date, and a man of his experience only needs to sharpen his tools. I think Usyk will have his moments, but Fury will win the majority of rounds and get the decision.

Tyson Fury to be Knocked Down and Win

Before the embarrassing Ngannou contest, Fury was on a run of four consecutive KO wins, but the likes of Derek Chisora and Dillian Whyte aren’t in the same league as Usyk. The 2012 Olympic gold medalist and two-weight world champion has never been dropped.

Fury, on the other hand, has touched the canvas on multiple occasions, including when he faced Big Francis back in October. Steve Cunningham faced Tyson back in 2013, dropping the British big man in the second round, and he was of a similar size and comparable speed to Usyk.

Usyk stopped Daniel Dubois in nine rounds but he couldn’t drop or stop AJ or Chisora, and even Wilder couldn’t nail Fury to the canvas. I can see Fury getting knocked down, but even then I think he has the nous to win the fight and return on some pretty hefty odds.

Tyson Fury to Win on Points & Both Fighters to be Knocked Down

I don’t think Fury will really go for the knockout but he has the size and skill to hurt anyone. There’s ongoing chatter that Usyk is weak to the body and the extended dramatics when he was hit on the beltline by Dubois hasn’t helped things.

Fury has the shot selection to target the body, or anywhere else he fancies, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Usyk touches down on Saturday. If you want some really big prices check out the #WhatOddsPaddy area, and the bet I like is for both fighters to go down, with Fury taking the win on points.

Tyson Fury v Oleksandr Usyk Betting Tips

Tyson Fury to Win on Points or Decision
Tyson Fury to be Knocked Down and Win
#WhatOddsPaddy: Tyson Fury to Win on Points & Both Fighters to be Knocked Down

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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