Tennis Tips: We’ve a 33/1 shot in our Wimbledon outright wagers

Our tipster Ben Smith's scoured the markets to offer up some value SW19 plays.

Wimbledon betting tips

Hubert Hurkacz to win the men’s singles (each-way)
Sebastian Korda to reach the men’s singles final
Mirra Andreeva to win the women’s singles (each-way)
Leylah Fernandez to win the women’s singles (each-way)

Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have both been placed in the top half of the Wimbledon men’s singles draw, leaving Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev as the highest-ranked players in the bottom section.

Djokovic underwent surgery on a torn meniscus three weeks ago, and Zverev has never progressed beyond the fourth round at the All England Club. It’s not the most difficult decision to determine which side of the draw we should focus on with outrights.

Hubert Hurkacz to win the men’s singles (each-way)

Seventh seed Hubert Hurkacz ticks a lot of boxes as a potential Wimbledon finalist. The Pole’s serve is his biggest weapon and he used it to great effect en route to the final at Halle last week.

Hurkacz hit 17 aces in a straight sets win over Zverev in the semi-finals. He then registered another 13 in the final against Sinner, who needed two tie-breaks to see off the 27-year-old.

Without Sinner or Alcaraz to contend with until the final, there is a real opportunity for Hurkacz to go at least one better than his semi-final appearance at SW19 in 2021. He caused problems for Djokovic in the fourth round last year and can do so again, but given the state of the Serb’s knee, it may not even come to that.

Sebastian Korda to reach the men’s singles final

Having made a selection in Djokovic’s quarter, it makes sense to do the same in Zverev’s. Jack Draper’s triumph in Stuttgart and victory over Alcaraz at Queen’s deserves attention but the Brit is unbackable at the odds quoted.

Instead, I’d prefer to side with another individual who has flourished on grass in recent weeks, Sebastian Korda. The American made the Libema Open final two weeks ago and quickly backed that up with a run to the semis at the Cinch Championships.

Among Korda’s victims in June were Tommy Paul, Tallon Griekspoor, and Grigor Dimitrov. Lifting the title is too much of an ask but his price to reach the final looks generous.

The warm-up grass tournaments have provided more questions than answers surrounding the leading contenders in the women’s singles. Ante-post favourite Aryna Sabalenka retired from her quarter-final in Berlin with a shoulder problem, while 2022 champion Elena Rybakina has been struggling with illness.

Last year’s finalists Marketa Vondrousova and Ons Jabeur have had fitness issues of their own. So, rather like the men’s draw, there are particular sections to target.

Mirra Andreeva to win the women’s singles (each-way)

One of the bright sparks of last year’s Championships, Mirra Andreeva took no time to get attuned to the All England Club grass courts as she cruised through qualifying and made it to the round of 16, where she was defeated in three sets by Madison Keys.

The teenager suffered a first-round exit at the hands of Dayana Yastremska in Bad Homburg last week in her only outing on grass this year, but I’m willing to let that slide. After all, the Russian also lost in round one of her final clay court event before the French Open, which she reached the semi-finals of.

Andreeva – whose variety and maturity is astounding for her age – gets her Wimbledon campaign underway against fellow 17-year-old Brenda Fruhvirtova. World number 14, Daria Kasatkina, would be Andreeva’s first seeded opponent in the fourth round if they both get through. Then, it could be a showdown with Sabalenka if her shoulder holds up.

Leylah Fernandez to win the women’s singles (each-way)

Emma Raducanu’s price came crashing in after she claimed her first ever top 10 scalp on Wednesday by taking out Jessica Pegula in Eastbourne. But rather than backing the 2021 US Open champion to triumph in her home Grand Slam, I’m taking a chance on the woman she defeated in the final in New York, Leylah Fernandez.

A broken foot sustained in 2022 set Fernandez back and it took the Canadian until October 2023 to get back in the winner’s circle as she won the Hong Kong Open. She has been somewhat floating under the radar since then but it might have all clicked at the right time heading into Wimbledon.

Two-time SW19 quarter-finalist Madison Keys is fancied to go well at the All England Club this summer, but Fernandez had all the answers to the heavy-hitting American in their Eastbourne semi-final on Friday.

Rybakina and Jabeur are in the same quarter, but doubts remain over their condition. Pegula is also in there, but can’t play Fernandez until the quarter-finals.

Wimbledon betting tips

Hubert Hurkacz to win the men’s singles (each-way)
Sebastian Korda to reach the men’s singles final
Mirra Andreeva to win the women’s singles (each-way)
Leylah Fernandez to win the women’s singles (each-way)

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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