The experienced American Steve Johnson came through a five-set thriller that went all the way to a tie-break against big-serving John Isner in his opening round match on Monday.
Johnson, who is playing on his favourite surface, will have been beaming with confidence after coming through that tricky opening-round matchup.
Ricardis Berankis made it Round Two with an average performance against unseeded Italian player Federico Gaio, winning in four sets. The last time these two players played was five years ago and Berankis took that down in straight sets 2-0.
It’s fair to say that Johnson holds the edge going into this match but might be feeling a little fatigue having gone all the way in his previous round. That said I still think he comes through this but probably drops a set.
Set Betting – Steve Johnson to win 3-1
Naomi Osaka gave Victoria Azarenka a free pass in the final of the Western & Southern Open final last week after suffering a hamstring injury in her semi-final. Surprisingly it didn’t affect Osaka’s outright price for this tournament much, suggesting it was a very minor injury and that she wanted to preserve herself for the slam.
She then struggled on Monday in overcoming Misaki Doi in three sets, which gives me the opinion that she’s still not at 100%.
Giorgi, on the other hand, has been playing any exhibition or match she could find over lockdown, and played well to overcome the talented Belgian Alison Van Uytvanck 7-5 in the decider of her opener at Flushing Meadows.
It’s a similar bet to the above in that I can’t see Naomi losing, but if both players play like they have been playing I can see the Italian nipping a set here and pushing Osaka close.
Set Betting – Naomi Osaka 2-1
Gilles Simon is one of those frustrating players that nobody looks forward to playing against – he’s a bit of a wall and doesn’t give you much pace to work with.
Fritz has had a good last 12 months and is back into the swing of things after having a bit of a lull since his early career breakthrough.
These two have only played once before – back in 2016 on clay, which was won by the Frenchman in straight sets – but this can be discounted as it really doesn’t run on current form from both players.
Simon had a comprehensive 6-1 6-4 6-4 win in his first-round match against the Egyptian Mohamed Safwat, while home favourite Fritz had to dig deep after losing the first set in a tie-break to come back and eventually win in 4. I like this matchup for Simon and I think at the prices he is the one that’s worth a squeak.
Match Odds – Gilles Simon
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