Australian Open Tennis Tips: Raonic woe could bring in a 12/1 tilt tonight

Our traders have spotted a bit of value in some of Tuesday night's matches in Melbourne. Bonzer.

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C Garin v M Raonic – Garin to Win @ 12/5

The gargantuan Canadian is woefully out of form in recent times and has a record of five wins and five losses in his last 10 games on hard court. Raonic’s struggle for form has led to him dropping to 32nd in the world rankings and can hardly be expected to cruise through his next match up with the 33rd ranked player in the world.

In the last half a year Milos has fallen to three players outside of the top 100 in the rankings and we feel he could be somewhat vulnerable here to a far more established player. Garin has come through his first test in straight sets so should be confident that he can put it up to Raonic. We would advise an investment siding with Garin in some manner but suggest taking a chance for all the marbles here at the 12/5 available.

BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA – DECEMBER 31: Alexandr Dolgopolov of Ukraine plays a backhand in his match against Diego Schwartzman of Argentina during day one at the 2018 Brisbane International at Pat Rafter Arena on December 31, 2017 in Brisbane, Australia. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

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H Hurkacz v J Millman – Hurkacz to Win @ 8/11

This is an intriguing match-up between a young up and comer in Hubert Hurkacz and frankly a bit of a journeyman of the tour in John Millman and as such it is reflected in the odds between the two. Millman owns a 2-0 record over the Pole but those matches were played in early 2018 and late 2017 when Hurkacz had yet to break the top 200 in the rankings on tour.

Millman is facing a far more difficult prospect at this point in time despite some nice recent form and a home crowd going for him. Hurkacz has now established himself on tour and since the beginning of the year has taken some nice scalps. The highly ranked trio of Schwartzman, Coric and Dominic Thiem all fell to Hurkacz in the ATP Cup which was played in Australia too.

After doing his country proud in the international tournament he then went on to Auckland where he was beaten in the semi-final by Benoit Paire in three sets. While Millman certainly deserves respect for recently beating Karen Khachanov and Felix Auger Aliassime, we think the market might be slightly overdoing so and hence why we think there is a bit of value backing Hurkacz at the 8/11 available.

Aug 19, 2018; Mason, OH, USA; Simona Halep (ROU) returns a shot against Kiki Bertens (NED) during the finals in the Western and Southern tennis open at Lindner Family Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

 

I Swiatek v T Babos – Babos to Win @ 5/4

Both these players have had to wait to kick off their Australian Open until today but Swiatek has had to wait since August 26th of last year to play a competitive game of tennis. Swiatek had to end her ’19 season prematurely due to a foot injury and we suspect there might be a bit of value in her being caught cold by the Hungarian.

Babos is no great shakes of late herself but in the most recent Slam event she gave the more promising Cori Gauff a run for her money in the US, taking a set and taking the match down to the wire. Swiatek has lots of promise but it’s anyone’s guess as to what way she could perform in her first-round match so we’d suggest backing Babos here at 5/4.

These three bets combined payout at over 12/1 on PaddyPower.com

*All odds correct at time of publication

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