Feliciano Lopez v David Goffin, 1st set Over 9.5 games – 4/6
Goffin is coming off his first title in almost three years after winning in Shenzhen last week, and has a lot of points to defend here having lost to Kyrgios in the final in 2017, in his quest to make the World Tour Finals.
Feliciano Lopez, meanwhile, hasn’t played since losing to Federer in the US Open and has a dismal record in Tokyo, losing in the 1st round the last 2 years. However, he has managed to keep things tight in the first set in previous years and, with Goffin having played a lot of matches recently, breaks will be hard to find early on. 4/6 on over 9.5 games in set one looks the bet.
ATP China Open
Aljaz Bedene v Roberto Bautista-Agut, Over 20.5 total match games – 5/6
Britain’s Aljaz Bedene faces off against the consistent Bautista-Agut on Lotus Court and we’re going with the Overs here, which is currently at the 20.5 mark. A quick look at their four previous meetings shows two wins apiece with all three of the completed matches going over the required 20 game mark with Bedene only one game away from forcing a minimum 21 mark before retiring at 7-5 2-2 in the other.
Bedene has been pretty quiet since a successful late Spring/early Summer but after taking down Granollers comfortably in Round 1 here, we’re backing him to keep it tight in Round 2, in what could be a match with a decent few breaks and swings.
WTA China Open
Maria Sharapova v Simona Halep, Halep to win – 10/11
In the match of the round, world no.2 Halep faces off against a drug less Sharapova. They’ve played seven times in their career so far with Sharapova winning each, including the first round of the US Open this year when she won a tight three-setter.
Halep was a 4/9 shot that time round and not much has changed since then to warrant such a move in odds. This is ‘pova’s first tournament back and she’s already played two tough three-set matches against good opponents while Halep got lucky when Rybarikova was forced to retire in her second round match.
If Halep can overcome the psychological aspect of the H2H record then she should have a very good chance of taking down Sharapova tomorrow morning and 10/11 looks quite generous.
Caroline Garcia v Elise Mertens, Elise Mertens to win – 6/4
Elise Mertens looked to be onto a hiding to nothing yesterday against Dominika Cibulova as she was down 5-0 in the blink of an eye without seeing as much as a deuce in those first five games. To the absolute shock of everyone (well maybe not everyone; Dominika has had quite the number of chokes in her time) Elise produced a stirring comeback to rival Lazarus himself, reeling off the next six games and inexplicably took the first set in a tie break (even by Cibulkova’s standards this was quite the bottle job!).
Mertens went on to win the second set 6-1 as a visibly rattled Dominika simply wilted, and we’re going with her to continue this run at a very backable 6/4 against the in-form Caroline Garcia, who we feel may have had a glass too much of the champers celebrating her amazing win in Wuhan only a number of days ago (where she had quite the comeback of her own as Barty served for the title in set 2).