J Goerges – 6.5 games handicap v A Beck – Evens
Things couldn’t look more clear-cut here. Beck has won total of one game in her last two outings and four in her last three matches. Her most recent matches were also played on clay and she hasn’t appeared on hard courts since Miami, half a year ago. The last time she won on hard courts was against Bouchard in Indian Wells and nobody brags about getting the better of Bouchard, unless it’s related to a Twitter-date.
Goerges is a very powerful German (as they usually come) with a big serve and very strong shots. She doesn’t want to waste too much energy this early in the tournament and showing Beck her place in this match should be something she’ll be focused on from the first point.
P Parmentier to beat O Dodin – 4/5
Unfortunately for Dodin, after hitting the form of her career in Washington, she got injured and returned back to her usual level. That means that big runners who make very few errors, like Parmentier, are a very awkward matchup for her. This can be seen in their head to head too, where Parmentier won both last meetings (both this year), not giving Dodin a set. With Parmentier healthy and in slightly better form, there’s no reason for this trend not to continue.
K King – +9.5 games handicap v A Zverev – 10/11
Although King’s chances of winning this match are almost non-existent, Zverev isn’t the type of player who sweeps others off the court. Also, the courts in New York are generally quite fast, and humidity will help them play even faster.
That means service breaks won’t come as easy. King also has a slight edge by winning three qualifying matches here, meaning he’s in full form coming in, while Zverev showed what he looks like when he’s a bit less motivated when he lost to Tiafoe in first round of Cincinnati. We’re counting on something similar here, where Zverev will be in control of the match, but will also be in control of how much energy he decides to spend on it.
Kokkinakis – -3.5 games handicap v J Tipsarevic – 8/11
Unfortunately for the Serb, Tipsarevic’s comeback isn’t really going the way he had hoped. Another injury in Wimbledon and only one win after that does not inspire confidence. Kokkinakis has fared slightly better in his comeback from injury and actually played a final of a tournament in Los Cabos a month ago.
This isn’t surprising as he’s a very talented young lad who is also good friends with Wawrinka’s girlfriend Donna Vekic. Kokkinakis is simply in much better form and despite Tipsarevic trying his best, the Aussie will look to get this one done quickly as he has struggled with fitness in longer matches before.