Cummings and Going? BoJo aide odds-on to lose job this week

Everything is fine.

Number 10 Downing Street special advisor Dominic Cummings gestures to members of the media to observe social distancing guidelines while he holds a child's bicycle and a ball outside his home in London on May 23, 2020 after allegations he broke coronavirus lockdown rules by travelling across the country in March. - The British government on May 23 rejected calls to sack top adviser Dominic Cummings over allegations he broke coronavirus lockdown rules by travelling across the country while displaying symptoms of the disease. Cummings left his London home shortly after he was diagnosed with the virus on March 30, and was later seen with his young son close to his parents' home in Durham, more than 250 miles (400 kilometres) away. (Photo by DANIEL LEAL-OLIVAS / AFP) (Photo by DANIEL LEAL-OLIVAS/AFP via Getty Images)


We make it odds-on that Dominic Cummings fails to retain his position beyond the end of the coming week.

This means that having effectively given him a 50-50 chance of surviving on Saturday, we now go 5/6 that he won’t be in position on Monday 1st June, following the second Cummings of stories about his lockdown breaches.

They have also priced up when Cummings might next be seen in Durham, and don’t expect the BoJo whisperer to keep his (social) distance – it’s odds-on he’s back in Durham in June (1/2).

But, with Cabinet going into bat for the man behind the lockdown rules – aka architect of his own demise – perhaps the future is rosy for Boris Johnson’s most senior adviser.

Paddy Power offer odds of:

  • 5/1 he is named as godfather of Boris Johnson’s newborn son, Wilfred
  • 50/1 he is granted the freedom of Durham (although, in his own head, he already has that)
  • 100/1 that Cummings is knighted in the New Year’s Honours list. Because of course.

They make it 10/1 that Cummings releases a tell-all autobiography in 2021, while it is just 3/1 that he outlasts the Prime Minister in position.

Spokesman Paddy Power said: “I’d love to get on the cans with Dominic Cummings – the stories he must know about the cabinet would make for a great evening’s entertainment.

“And he might be free to do a few after-dinner speaking gigs soon, as we make it odds-on that Cummings is going by next Monday.”

4/6        No
EVS        Yes

1/2        June
3/1        May
6/1        July
10/1      August or later


3/1        To outlast Boris Johnson in position
5/1        To be made godfather of Boris Johnson’s newborn child
5/1        To outlast Michael Gove in position
5/1        To outlast Matt Hancock in position
10/1      To release a tell-all autobiography in 2021
50/1      To be given the freedom of Durham
100/1    To be knighted in New Year’s Honours list
250/1    To leave his position to take up long-distance lorry driving

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