Irish Politics latest odds: Party Poopers – Will the Government Go Green?

I'd go with a 3-5-2 formation, myself.


With Fine Gael and Fianna Fail’s wooing of smaller parties in full swing, we reveal the latest odds on the potential political party starters when it comes to the formation of the next government. According to the traders, a FF/FG/Green coalition is currently odds-on at 1/4 (80%) – reflecting a dramatic cut in odds from 10/1 (9.1%) last month.

FF/FG/Greens/Independents is 17/2 (10.5%) which again was as large as 10/1 this time one month ago. Meanwhile, the opposite can be said for the likelihood of FF/FG/Independents, with such a coalition drifting out to odds of 12/1 (7.7%).

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Unsurprisingly larger odds are available on the chances of FF and FG teaming up with Sinn Fein to form a government with our traders currently rating the chances of that happening at 33/1 or a 3.8% chance.

And, with Labour leader Alan Kelly getting in on the action last week by dispatching a letter posing five questions to Fianna Fail leader Micheal Martin and Fine Gael leader Leo Varadkar, it’s the same price for a FF/FG/Labour partnership.

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For the latest odds on all things politics click here.

If it’s still going, there are probably odds on it at

What do you think?