General Election 2019: Odds slashed on Conservative majority after Farage alliance

Things are looking very blue ahead of polling day.


Paddy Power have slashed the odds on the Conservatives taking an overall majority in next month’s election – the price plunging from 8/11 to 4/7, after Nigel Farage announced a ‘Leave Alliance’.

We now expect Boris Johnson’s party to take 338 seats, up from 328 this morning.

Further, the alliance announcement sees ‘no overall majority’ (13/8) overtake Labour in the betting for who will rule the Commons after the General Election.

The chances of a Tory and Brexit Party Coalition have also shortened slightly to 14/1 – though, for context, that’s still behind the Labour, Lib Dem and SNP alliance (10/1) in the betting.

Order! Order!’s politics odds are top of the polls

Asked about the move in the markets spokesman Paddy Power said: “Nigel Farage has announced a Leave Alliance with the Conservatives, even if BoJo isn’t desperate to reciprocate – it reminds me of kiss chase as a kid.

“As far as Unholy Alliances go, it’s right up there, but it may at least put Brexit to bed once and for all. You win some, you lose some – even if the NHS could well fall into the latter camp, allegedly.

“Elsewhere, the Lib Dems and Greens have also made a pact – hopefully not to be considered a wasted vote this time around.”


4/9        Conservative
13/8      None
20/1      Labour
150/1    Brexit Party
150/1    Lib Dem


4/7        Conservative Majority
9/2        Labour Minority
9/1        Conservative Minority
10/1      Labour, Lib Dem and SNP Coalition
14/1      Conservative and Brexit Party Coalition


1/3        Boris Johnson
2/1        Jeremy Corbyn


4/9        0 – 4.99%
7/4        5 – 9.99%
12/1      10 – 14.99%

* Paddy Power’s full range of political betting markets – and my god there are plenty – are available here.

Be first past the post with’s Politics odds

* All odds correct at time of posting.

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