General Election 2019: Odds slashed on Conservative majority after Farage alliance

Things are looking very blue ahead of polling day.

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Paddy Power have slashed the odds on the Conservatives taking an overall majority in next month’s election – the price plunging from 8/11 to 4/7, after Nigel Farage announced a ‘Leave Alliance’.

We now expect Boris Johnson’s party to take 338 seats, up from 328 this morning.

Further, the alliance announcement sees ‘no overall majority’ (13/8) overtake Labour in the betting for who will rule the Commons after the General Election.

The chances of a Tory and Brexit Party Coalition have also shortened slightly to 14/1 – though, for context, that’s still behind the Labour, Lib Dem and SNP alliance (10/1) in the betting.

Order! Order!PaddyPower.com’s politics odds are top of the polls

Asked about the move in the markets spokesman Paddy Power said: “Nigel Farage has announced a Leave Alliance with the Conservatives, even if BoJo isn’t desperate to reciprocate – it reminds me of kiss chase as a kid.

“As far as Unholy Alliances go, it’s right up there, but it may at least put Brexit to bed once and for all. You win some, you lose some – even if the NHS could well fall into the latter camp, allegedly.

“Elsewhere, the Lib Dems and Greens have also made a pact – hopefully not to be considered a wasted vote this time around.”

OVERALL MAJORITY

4/9        Conservative
13/8      None
20/1      Labour
150/1    Brexit Party
150/1    Lib Dem

GOVERNMENT AFTER ELECTION (FIRST CABINET)

4/7        Conservative Majority
9/2        Labour Minority
9/1        Conservative Minority
10/1      Labour, Lib Dem and SNP Coalition
14/1      Conservative and Brexit Party Coalition

PM AFTER ELECTION

1/3        Boris Johnson
2/1        Jeremy Corbyn

BREXIT PARTY VOTE %

4/9        0 – 4.99%
7/4        5 – 9.99%
12/1      10 – 14.99%

* Paddy Power’s full range of political betting markets – and my god there are plenty – are available here.

Be first past the post with PaddyPower.com’s Politics odds

* All odds correct at time of posting.