Odds of a hard border between Ireland and Northern Ireland are shortening by the day, and we’ve cut the price to 6/1 after another week of procrastination.
A soft border remains favourite (1/10), but the impasse – or wall – may need external support. Step forward Donald Trump, who we make 500/1 to build a wall on the Irish border.
Leo Varadkar, meanwhile, is 50/1 to resign with the next six months, as the Brexit dispute with Britain grows.
Leo the Lion is no longer favourite to retain his role after the next election – with Micheál Martin now odds-on (8/11) to be the Taioseach after the next election, which is heavily odds-on to be scheduled for 2018 (1/8).
Spokesman Paddy Power said: “I thought Jean Claude Juncker stepping in would sort this mess out – after all, the lad’s got a name straight out of a Die Hard film.
“Varadkar has reacted to the situation with the diplomatic equivalent of a Taylor Swift song – expect the UK’s record collection to be binned in Cavan any day now.”
Bordering on lunacy odds
1/10 Soft Border is enforced between Ireland and the North
6/1 Hard Border is enforced between Ireland and the North
10/1 Sinn Féin to intervene and ensure Soft Border
25/1 Rex Tillerson to publicly float America’s wall border idea to Ireland
50/1 Leo Varadkar to resign within six months
500/1 Donald Trump to help build a wall in Northern Ireland
1000/1 A Hard Border to be mistakenly put up in Wales
Next Taoiseach after election
8/11 Micheal Martin
Evens Leo Varadkar
25/1 Simon Coveney
40/1 Mary Lou McDonald