In fantasy football of any kind, you’ve got to make your top picks count. And with just five games on the Saturday main contest slate, making the right picks is even more important.
Southampton v Everton
Burnley v West Ham
Newcastle v Bournemouth
Tottenham v Sheffield United
Leicester v Arsenal
Tottenham are the biggest favourite according to Paddypower.com, and that could be good news for their captain.
Harry Kane, FWD, Tottenham, £22
On what is a balanced slate, ownership will probably centre on Spurs, the only team with implied win odds greater than 50.0%.
Let’s get it out of the way — the Blades have been really good defensively this season, allowing a league-low eight goals through 11 matches. This is where the “but” comes in — they haven’t had a super tough schedule. In three games against big-six sides, they’ve conceded two goals to Chelsea, one to Liverpool and none to Arsenal. The Chelsea fixture was the lone away game of the lot, and Sheffield United also allowed two goals in a home match versus Leicester.
In short, the Blades are good defensively, but we shouldn’t avoid them on their travels versus a big-six side.
Kane leads Spurs in goals (6), expected goals (3.8) and shots on target (10). He has a monopoly on penalties and owns the best anytime goal odds, naturally, at 4/7.
Jamie Vardy, FWD, Leicester City, £20
Leicester City have taken a big step forward in their first full campaign under Brendan Rodgers. They’re firmly in the race for a top-four spot now and, in truth, they’ve looked every bit like one of the PL’s top sides this campaign, with WhoScored’s team rankings putting the Foxes second.
Vardy has been a force in his number-nine role, netting 10 goals in 11 league starts while no other Leicester player has more than three tallies. He’s put 14 shots on target and has the team’s lone penalty goal.
The Foxes are the slate’s second-biggest favourite as they host Arsenal, though Leicester have implied win odds of just 50.0%. The Gunners, however, have been fragile at the back all year, giving up three goals to Liverpool and two to Spurs while also getting carved up by lesser sides (three to Villa and two to Watford).
Vardy is usually a goal-or-nothing fantasy play, scoring fewer than 10 Paddy Power Fantasy points in each of his goal-less outings, but he’s got multi-goal upside on Saturday.
Son Heung-min, MID, Tottenham, £19
Son is eligible to play this weekend after having his suspension overturned. A lot of what we listed above for Kane applies here, as well.
Son is tied for second on Spurs in goals (2) and sits alone in second in expected goals (1.9) and shots on target (9). He bagged a brace midweek in UCL play and is the lone Tottenham player with more than one assist (he has three). PaddyPower.com has him as the second-most likely player to score in this match, handing him anytime goal odds of 7/5.
Pairing Son and Kane and hoping to get exposure to every Tottenham goal is a viable strategy on this slate, and it may not be all that popular given the league form of these two sides.
Lucas Digne, DEF, Everton, £15
Digne has been in fine form this season for Everton, and his all-around play gives him a great daily fantasy floor. He’s put up 23.5, 23.3 and 27.7 Paddy Power Fantasy points over his last three matches despite recording just one assist and no goals in that span.
The Frenchman has created at least two chances in each of the past five matches, and he contributes defensively, too, racking up five clearances apiece in his last two outings. His corner and free-kick duties lift both his floor and ceiling, and there’s some sneaky back-and-forth, high-scoring potential in Everton’s road fixture with Southampton.
On a slate without a bunch of high-priced attackers, it’s much easier to get up to Digne’s salary, and he offers a great floor/ceiling combination versus the Saints.