Week 12 of the NFL concludes with the LA Chargers hosting the Baltimore Ravens.
NFL tipster Andrew Cunneen is all over this one for us and has five picks for a hard-hitting Bet Builder. Let’s get into his Ravens @ Chargers betting tips.
Ravens @ Chargers Bet Builder tips
Baltimore -2.5
Under 50.5 points
Justin Herbert – Under 255.5 Passing Yards
Will Dissly – Under 39.5 Receiving Yards
J.K. Dobbins – Over 47.5 Rushing Yards
- A bet builder with these selections pays approximately 19/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK OR TAP HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
NFL game at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
TV: Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports NFL, 1:15am
Baltimore -2.5
There’s an underlying reason why, despite their records, home-field advantage and pure, unadulterated momentum, the Ravens are considered a Super Bowl contender, and the Chargers are not.
It’s not the quarterback. Because both are playing at MVP-esque level, it’s not the defence because the Chargers have a distinct advantage schematically.
The issue lies with the flow on the offensive side of the ball.
Baltimore are breaking EPA records despite not having an elite offensive line nor a top-ten group of pass-catchers.
That commitment to being dynamic is a clear one-up for Baltimore; who parted with now-Chargers coordinator Greg Roman before shifting to Todd Monken.
Lamar paused before answering the question about the inefficiencies of a Roman offence. And that’s a league-wide acceptance.
When it comes to go, they can move the ball when given the opportunity. I’ll take the team who aren’t last in the league in three-and-out rate.
Under 50.5 points
This is a ridiculous points tally.
The reason is that, in their best form, these offences try to dictate the time of possession by running the ball.
Two key defensive absences—Denzel Perryman of the Chargers and Roquan Smith of the Ravens—are the biggest contributors to this theory.
These two are the best run defenders on their respective teams, and without them tidying up, this game could flash past in the blink of an eye, Scores will few and far between.
Justin Herbert – Under 255.5 Passing Yards
The Chargers are third in the league in first down passing rate since their bye, and that’s why you’ve seen both an uptick in Herbert’s raw numbers plus the whispers of him entering the MVP race.
That’s undeniable, but it’s not how the Chargers will approach this game for multiple reasons. The first is that every Charger who gave pre-game words leading up to this said the identity is to smack them in the mouth.
When you factor in that Baltimore got rid of Roman for a non-dynamic run game, and Baltimore dumped their two runners for being non-explosive, the writing is on the wall.
Will Dissly – Under 39.5 Receiving Yards
Dissly has been the Chargers’ go-to for certain concepts over the last four weeks, which has seen him win a tonne of receptions. It’s worth remembering his career was forged as a run-blocker and a pass-protector.
So, this shift is not a mid-career pivot but more an outcome of circumstance. The Chargers leant on him in games they needed to pass a lot. Against teams that play just one safety a lot of the time, Dissly’s size meant he was a great option to run seams.
The Ravens don’t show this a tonne, and McConkey is emerging as the go-to receiver. With everyone back healthy on that side of the ball for the first time in forever, expect Dissly’s yardage to dip.
J.K. Dobbins – Over 47.5 Rushing Yards
Dobbins is now entering a role where he should split carries with Gus Edwards. Edwards’ last touch against Cinci came in the second quarter because Dobbins was so electric.
Given the toll on his body, this is more beneficial to Dobbins’ ability to break bigger runs late in the game, like the one that sealed the win last week – and Travis Jones is questionable for MNF, too. If he’s out, Dobbins could double this line.
Ravens @ Chargers Bet Builder tips
Baltimore -2.5
Under 50.5 points
Justin Herbert – Under 255.5 Passing Yards
Will Dissly – Under 39.5 Receiving Yards
J.K. Dobbins – Over 47.5 Rushing Yards
- A bet builder with these selections pays approximately 19/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK OR TAP HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All odds and lines quoted are accurate at time of publication but are subject to change
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